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Arizona Football Predictions

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The Arizona Wildcats picked up their eighth win of the season in 2012 with a 49-48 victory over Nevada in the New Mexico Bowl. Their high point of the season came long before their bowl game. The Wildcats beat #18 Oklahoma State in week two of the season and #9 USC in week eight. They also played close games against ranked teams from Oregon State and Stanford, losing by an average of 4.5 points. They were blown out by #3 ranked Oregon in a 0-49 game played on the road.

The Wildcats had just two of their seven regular season wins decided by a touchdown or less. The five remaining wins came with a 29.4 point margin of victory. Overall it was a truly successful season for Arizona. With 11 starters returning on defense and a total of 16 returning on the team the Wildcats have high expectations coming into 2013.

Last Season
Pac-12 (South)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
4th
8-5
6-7
9-3
38.2
35.3
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
16
5
11
1.185
37th
91st
Head Coach Rich Rodriguez
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
65-46
47-59-1
39-21
22-33-1
24-21
24-21
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
2-4
1-5
9-5
9-5
16-23
14-24-1
2013 Schedule
2013 Arizona Wildcats Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 Northern Arizona
-21
1
9/7 @ UNLV
-17
1
9/14 UTSA
-28
1
9/28 @ Washington
+5
.38
10/10 @ USC
+7
.31
10/19 Utah
-12
.86
10/26 @ Colorado
-20
1
11/2 @ California
-11
.84
11/9 UCLA
-4
.65
11/16 Washington St
-19
1
11/23 Oregon
+12
.19
11/30 @ Arizona St
+5
.38
Estimated Wins: 8.61

The Wildcats should benefit from a particularly soft schedule. They rank 91st in strength of schedule and will likely be double-digit favorites in their first three non-conference games. The most difficult part of their schedule will come at the start of Pac-12 play when they face Washington and USC in back-to-back games played on the road.

Arizona will probably start Pac-12 play with a 0-2 record, but they have a great chance to go on a five game run following that stretch. The Wildcats will host Utah before playing back-to-back games against Colorado and California on the road. Those are three of the worst teams in the Pac-12 conference, and the Wildcats are projected to be double-digit favorites in each of those games.

Things will get harder for Arizona when they play host to UCLA. The Bruins are projected to be a small underdog in that game, but it will be hard to count the defending Pac-12 South champs out. Following the matchup against UCLA the Wildcats will be at home against Washington State and Oregon. The game against Washington State should be an easy victory and the Wildcats can probably start preparing for Oregon a little earlier than normal.

The final game of the season will be played on the road against in-state rival Arizona State. There are high expectations for the Sun Devils in 2013, which is why the Wildcats are projected to come into that game as a five-point underdog. This will be a revenge matchup for Arizona after the Sun Devils beat them last year on their home field in a 34-41 game.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
Pac-12 Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
7.5
5 to 1
250 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

Even though the Wildcats will benefit from a particularly soft schedule this year, I still have them finishing fourth in the Pac-12 South. B.J. Denker, the projected starter, did not get a lot of experience last year with just 37 pass attempts. They also lost their star wide receiver Austin Hill in the spring with an ACL injury, so the offense will struggle to match last season’s 38.2 points per game.

The Wildcats defense was horrible last season allowing 35.3 points per game. Even though they return 11 defensive starters, they still have a lot of work to do. They are coming off a season in which they allowed a school record of 499 yards per game. Even with a soft schedule the Wildcats defense will still struggle facing the potent offenses from USC, Oregon and Arizona State. I am also not convinced they can beat Washington on the road, which is why a fourth place finish seems inevitable.

2013 Projections
Pac-12 (South)
Pac-12 Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
4th
5-4
8-4
OVER 7.5
Arizona Football Resources
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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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