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The Baltimore Ravens bounced back from an 8-8 campaign in 2013 with a 10-6 record in 2014. While it was the 3rd best record in the AFC North, it was enough to land them in the playoffs as a Wild Card. Baltimore opened the postseason with an impressive 30-17 win on the road at Pittsburgh, but would lose a heartbreaker at New England 31-35 (blew a 14-point lead) in the Divisional Round.

The Ravens have been one of the most consistent franchises in terms of winning since they brought in head coach John Harbaugh. Baltimore has won 64.3% (72-40) of their games under Harbaugh, who took over in 2008. In those 7 seasons, the Ravens have posted double-digit wins 5 times and have missed the playoffs just once, while winning the Super Bowl in 2012.

Needless to say, the expectations are high going into the 2015 season. While Baltimore saw some key pieces in the offseason, including long-time defensive tackle Haloti Ngata, wide out Torrey Smith and outside linebacker Pernell McPhee. General manager Ozzie Newsome has done an excellent job of building this roster to sustain those losses and the Ravens look to be just as strong, if not stronger.

Last Season
AFC North
ATS Record
Home ATS
Road ATS
Offense Rank
Defense Rank
Turnover Margin
Points For
Points Against
2015 Roster Changes
Draft Picks
Breshad Perriman (WR), Maxx Williams (TE), Carl Davis (DT), Za’Darius Smith (DE), Javorius Allen (RB), Tray Walker (CB), Nick Boyle (TE), Robert Myers (OG), Darren Waller (WR)
Kendrick Lewis (FS), Matt Schaub (QB)
Torrey Smith (WR), Haloti Ngata (DT), Owen Daniels (TE), Jacoby Jones (WR), Pernell McPhee (LB), Darian Stewart (FS), Tyrod Taylor (QB), Gino Gradkowski (C)
2015 Schedule & Odds
Week Opponent Spread Win Chance
1 @ Broncos +4 0.34
2 @ Raiders -5 0.68
3 Bengals -3 0.59
4 @ Steelers +2.5 0.45
5 Browns -7 0.75
6 @ 49ers +2 0.47
7 @ Cardinals +2 0.47
8 Chargers -3.5 0.64
10 Jaguars -10.5 0.86
11 Rams -3.5 0.64
12 @ Browns -3 0.59
13 @ Dolphins PK 0.5o
14 Seahawks +1 0.49
15 Chiefs -3.5 0.64
16 Steelers -2 0.53
17 @ Bengals +2 0.47
Estimated Wins: 9.11
Roster Breakdown

Baltimore’s offense had another productive season behind one of the more underrated signal callers in the game in Joe Flacco, who threw for 3,986 yards with 27 touchdowns to just 12 interceptions. Overall the Ravens ranked 12th in total offense (364.9 ypg) and 8th in scoring (25.6 ppg).

Surprisingly, with Ray Rice lost in the offseason, Baltimore’s rushing attack was one of the best in the league, ranking 8th at 126.2 ypg. Thanks in large part to offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak’s zone-blocking schemes, which paved the way for a breakout year from Justin Forsett (1,266 yards, 8 TDs). While he might have has big as impact running the football, Forsett figures to play a big part of the offense catching passes out of the backfield.

The big question is how the offense will transition under new offensive coordinator Marc Trestman, as Kubiak left to be the head coach of the Denver Broncos. Trestman spent the last two years as the head coach of the Chicago Bears and figures to bring a more vertical passing game to Baltimore. If anything, the offense could get even better, as Trestman will actually have a legit quarterback to work with instead of having to make due with Jay Cutler.

Smith would have been a great fit for Trestman’s offense, but his loss was eased by the addition of 1st round rookie wide out Breshad Perriman, who many believe is a better version of Smith. Perriman will start right away alongside veteran Steve Smith, while Marlon Brown, Kamar Aiken and Michael Campanaro figure to play key roles. Baltimore also filled a huge need at tight end by selecting Minnesota’s Maxx Williams in the second round.

The good news for the Ravens is that they will once again have one of the top offensive lines in the NFL, as all 5 starters return up front in the trenches. The interior of the unit is especially strong, led by one of the best right guards in the game in Marshal Yanda. They also have to capable starters at both tackle spots in Eugene Monroe and Rick Wagner.

Baltimore complimented their strong offense with a stout defense, which ranked 8th in total defense (336.9 ypg) and 6th in scoring defense (18.9 ppg). They were especially good at stopping the run (88.2 ypg, 4th) and getting after the quarterback (49 sacks, T-2nd).

Losing a player like Ngata in the trenches could cripple some teams, but the Ravens appear to be in good shape to replace him. That’s because they hit on 2014 2nd round pick Timmy Jernigan, who showed a lot of promise as a rookie. Jernigan will start alongside massive nose tackle Brandon Williams and fellow 3-4 defensive end Chris Canty. They also used a 3rd round pick on Iowa’s Carl Davis to serve as a backup to Williams at the nose.

While the Ravens would have loved to have McPhee back, he was expendable given he served as a backup to their dynamic duo at outside linebacker in Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil, who combined for 29 sacks. Courtney Upshaw and rookie Za’Darius Smith will take over for McPhee as the primary backup. On the inside, Baltimore has two studs in 2nd-year linebacker C.J. Mosely and veteran Daryl Smith.

The weakness of the defense last year was the secondary, especially after star corner Jimmy Smith went down with a season-ending injury that cost him to miss the entire 2nd half. Getting Smith back healthy will be a big boost, as he will continue to start opposite of Lardarius Webb. 3rd-year safety Matt Elam, who has been a disappointment so far, was lost for this upcoming season, but his departure is eased by the free agent addition of veteran Kendrick Lewis, who was expected to start anyway.

Future Odds
Regular Season Win Total
to Win the AFC
to Win Super Bowl L
19 to 2
23 to 1
Odds Courtesty of 5Dimes

As the Ravens learned the hard way last year, 10-wins doesn’t guarantee you anything in the AFC North. With Pittsburgh and Cincinnati both figuring to be just as good, Baltimore will likely have to top that mark to win the division.
While you could make a strong argument for all 3 teams to finish on top, I give the slight edge to the Ravens. In my opinion, they are the most complete team of the 3. Pittsburgh’s offense will by dynamic, but they have major holes on defense and I just don’t trust Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton.

I have Baltimore taking the AFC North crown with an overall record of 11-5, which makes them one of my favorite win total bets of 2015, as Vegas has their over/under total wins set at just 9. I think it’s an extremely safe bet, as worse case would be 9-7. If the offense clicks under Trestman and the defense remains a force without Ngata, the Ravens will be a legit Super Bowl contender.

AFC North Finish
Division Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
Ravens 10-Year Recap
Year W L Playoffs Coach Win Total
2014 10 6 Lost Div Harbaugh 8.5
2013 8 8 Harbaugh 8.5
2012 10 6 Won SB Harbaugh 10
2011 12 4 Lost Conf Harbaugh 10.5
2010 12 4 Lost Div Harbaugh 10
2009 9 7 Lost Div Harbaugh 8.5
2008 11 5 Lost Conf Harbaugh 6
2007 5 11 Billick 9
2006 13 3 Lost Div Billick 8
2005 6 10 Billick 10

Chuck Mills

Chuck Mills

OVER 9 Wins – I think this is an 11 win team. The Ravens have the best offensive line in the league. They actually got Joe Flacco some help this offseason by bringing in targets for him to throw to. There is plenty of talent and experience on defense now that they have fixed the secondary.

Brett Foote

Brett Foote

OVER 9 Wins – I like the over. The Ravens addressed their greatest 2014 deficiency by solidifying the secondary. Their offensive line is among the NFL’s top 5, and they upgraded Joe Flacco’s skill players this offseason, talent wise. Add to that a dominant defensive line and one of the most prolific pass rushing duos in the prime of their career and 10-11 wins is a reasonable expectation for 2015.

Cole Moog

Cole Moog

OVER 9 Wins – I would take the over on the Ravens. I think they go 10-6. The youthful offense will have a bit of a learning curve, and they’ll have a slow 2-2 start. The defense will carry them early on and will finish in the top seven as a unit.

Michael Long

Michael Long

OVER 9 Wins – Taking the over on the Ravens because of their improved secondary, development of younger players, and their new offensive scheme. The secondary was the weak spot of the Ravens last season. That was addressed with their offseason additions. Losing Matt Elam won’t hurt. I love what Marc Trestman brings to the table. Joe Flacco and Justin Forsett will both flourish under his offense that features quick passes, the utilization of running backs in the passing game, and the ability to stretch the defense over the top. CJ Mosely will continue to develop into one of the best LB in the NFL coming off his defensive rookie of the year performance in 2014.


Matthew Stevens

OVER 9 Wins – The Ravens being expected to win 9 games is a solid line, but one that I think the Ravens can beat if they stay at the same level of healthy they currently are at.

Despite the analysts talking about the wicked NFC West, the Ravens are primed to beat those teams due to their repeated games in the AFC North. Seattle, the team that garners the most attention, is a team with a run first mentality and tough defense… Something the Ravens have had to face in the AFC North six times a season and sometimes in the playoffs, so the blueprint is easily there if you are head coach John Harbaugh.

Now the real difficulty will be in the constant travel out to the west coast. Yet, the Ravens have already booked their hotel rooms and practice facilities to stay out there for a while in order to combat this exact issue. So when you consider the things “haunting” the Ravens this season, most of the talk has already been addressed in some fashion and I don’t think it will be a problem.

Now that being said, the Ravens do have a tough schedule and matching up against teams like Seattle, even with a blueprint, will be hard games to win. Starting in the AFC North, I think the fair thing to do is to split the games with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh while winning out against Cleveland. The Ravens have been pretty solid against the Broncos over the last few games and will be playing against a dinged up offensive line, meaning that Peyton Manning should have nightmares of the Ravens’ pass rush for the next few years. Games against Oakland, the 49ers, Cardinals and Jaguars are games that the Ravens have had issues with in the past by playing down to their competition. So I think marking one of those as a loss is fair.

Pushing past mid-season, the Ravens get into a harder stretch of their schedule by facing off against San Diego, Miami, Seattle, Kansas City and two divisional games. The Ravens have had an incredibly difficult time with Phillip Rivers and the Chargers so I will consider that a defeat unless the Ravens can prove me wrong. Miami, despite their rise up, will still be starting a relatively young quarterback and have faltered mightily to the Ravens as of late. With the Seahawks being the Super Bowl losers, I’ll give that game a pass and say the Ravens barely lose, but the Seahawks figure it out right before the playoffs and hit a hot streak. After that game, the only other is the Chiefs, who I see the Ravens crushing at home where they perform better than just about any team in the league.

With those wins and losses, I personally have the Ravens going 11-5 with the possibility of slipping up a game and going 10-6. Both would still beat the 9 wins expected so far, but as mentioned, it would require a healthy Ravens team to do so.

Bobby Esbrandt

Bobby Esbrandt

OVER 9 wins – This Ravens squad should have no trouble exceeding 9 wins. In my opinion they are a 10 or 11 win team. Expect their secondary to be a strength due to the return of Jimmy Smith, addition of Kendrick Lewis, and emergence of Will Hill. The front 7 will be dominant as always, even with the loss of Haloti Ngata. Timmy Jernigan will be this year’s breakout player. On the offensive side of the ball the Ravens did a good job of surrounding Flacco with more young talent. They also boast one of the best offensive lines in the league. If they can remain healthy this team has all the tools to be a Super Bowl contender.

Nathan Beaucage

Nathan Beaucage

OVER 9 Wins – While I may be a little biased, I think the Ravens can certainly top the nine-win line. Even when I remove my ‘purple-tinted glasses’, it still seems logical that the Ravens will post more than nine wins this season.

Over the past five seasons, Baltimore has has posted nine-plus wins four times. 2013’s mediocre (by Ravens standards) squad was the exception. Considering that last year’s injury-riddled unit put up 10 wins, it’s not a stretch at all to say that this year’s squad can improve on that.

While last year’s schedule was very friendly for the Ravens, the team has improved in almost every facet this year. The team boasts one of the best offensive lines in the league, exciting rookies, a stellar defense with an improved secondary, and Joe Flacco, who is coming off of his best statistical year yet. Combine all of this and you can come to the conclusion that prospects are high for the Ravens this year.

Assuming a split with divisional rivals Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, and popular losses like Denver and Seattle, this still leaves the Ravens a two game margin to beat the line. While you can almost definitely expect the team to drop a game they should win, it’s just as possible that they win one that they shouldn’t. That’s just Baltimore football.

Anyways, if I were a betting man, I’d be betting on the Baltimore Ravens to beat the odds this year.

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