College Football BCS Bowl Projections
Every week for the rest of the college football season we will be updating our projections and predictions for every BCS Bowl. These are based mostly on records and BCS standings, predictions for each team for the rest of the season, posted BCS Championship odds and the restrictions placed on each game. Let’s start with the championship game.
Updated Nov. 28th. 2012
BCS National Championship Game – Notre Dame vs Alabama
This one seems pretty easy. Alabama is favored in the SEC Championship game over Georgia, so they should win, and Notre Dame’s win over USC guarantees their spot in the championship. Georgia could upset the Tide and screw everything up, but for now Bama has the best shot at facing the Irish.
Fiesta Bowl – Kansas State vs Oregon
Kansas State will still win the Big 12 with a win over Texas and gain a spot in the Fiesta Bowl. Oregon comes up short in the Pac-12, but are still a great get as an at-large team.
*As a side note, Kent State may actually win the at-large bid here. They are 6.5-point underdogs against Northern Illinois this week, but if they win that game, they should be ranked in the top 16 in the BCS rankings and will have won the MAC. The BCS rules state that if a team outside of BCS conferences wins their conference and ranks at least in the top 16 in the BCS computer rankings, they MUST be included in a BCS bowl game. Wouldn’t that be something!
Sugar Bowl – Florida vs Oklahoma
Now that it looks like Alabama will be in the title game, the Sugar Bowl has it’s choice of Georgia or Florida from the SEC, but I think they’ll take Florida considering they will have just one loss and Georgia will likely have two after the SEC Championship. For their at-large selection, I’m thinking Oklahoma, who should finish up with just two losses and has a fan base that travels well. You could easily argue that Texas A&M, LSU, Georgia or South Carolina are more deserving, but the SEC simply can’t have that many teams in BCS games.
Orange Bowl – Florida State vs Rutgers
The first spot goes to the ACC champion, and the Seminoles are huge favorites over Georgia Tech. The Big East Champion automatically gets a BCS bid and the Orange Bowl selects last, which will likely leave them with the likely Big East champion, Rutgers, who is favored by three over Louisville this week.
Rose Bowl – Nebraska vs Stanford
Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten, but the Buckeyes are ineligible for a bowl this season, so the spot falls to Nebraska, who we project to win the conference championship. Stanford should win the Pac-12 title as they are favored by more than a touchdown over UCLA, so they’ll land here.