Boston College Football Predictions

The Boston College Eagles had a successful first season under head coach Steve Addazio. Despite losing to Arizona 19-42 in their bowl game, the Eagles posted their first winning record in three years at 7-6. That included a 4-4 mark in the ACC, which was good enough for a T-3rd in the Atlantic behind Florida State and Clemson.

Addazio could find it difficult to build off last year’s success. The Eagles have just 9 starters coming back and only 3 of those come on the offensive side of the ball. Boston College not only lost their starting quarterback, they lost their all-time leading rusher in Andre Williams and their all-time leading receiver in Alex Amidon. Last year, Williams rushed for 2,177 yards (5th most all-time in FBS) and 18 touchdowns, while Amidon caught 77 passes for 1,032 yards and 5 scores. They also lose a couple of NFL-caliber players on the defensive side of the ball in outside linebacker Kevin Louis-Pierre (4th round pick) and defensive end Kaleb Ramsey (7th round pick).

Last Season
ACC (Atlantic)
ATS Record
Points For
Points Against
2014 Boston College Eagles Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 @ UMass
9/5 Pittsburgh
9/13 USC
9/20 Maine
9/27 Colorado State
10/11 @ NC State
10/18 Clemson
10/25 @ Wake Forest
11/1 @ Virginia Tech
11/8 Louisville
11/22 @ Florida State
11/29 Syracuse
Estimated Wins: 3.72

Even though the Eagles are expected to replace Retig with former Florida transfer Tyler Murphy, there’s just no way the offense can’t suffer some kind of a setback with the loss of Williams and Amidon. Adding to this is the fact that Boston College had an impressive 13.3 yards per point in 2013, which was their best mark in 4 years by a substantial margin (next best was 16.2 in 2010).

Another area of concern for the Eagles is they had a +3 turnover margin in 2013, which was only the second time in the last 5 years that they managed to finish positive. Given all the talent they lost from last year, chances are Boston College is going to post a negative turnover margin, which in turn should lead to a losing record.

As far as the schedule is concerned, it looks to be even more challenging than last year’s. While the Eagles non-conference has three winnable games to go along with a likely home loss to USC, I could see this team struggling on the road against UMass and at Alumni Stadium versus Colorado State. Opportunities for wins inside the ACC are difficult to find. They do get Pittsburgh and Syracuse at home and have a winnable road game at Wake Forest, who is also in the midst of a rebuilding phase.

While 2014 looks to be a rebuilding year in Chestnut Hill, there is reason to believe that Addazio will quickly get this program back on track. Boston College just landed the 57th ranked recruiting class of 2014, which is well above their 3-year average of 72nd. Look for a number of these recruits to step in an play a big role this season.

Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
250 to 1
700 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

I’m expecting big things out of Addazio in his tenure at Boston College, which makes it difficult for me to predict this team to completely tank in his second season on the job. The thing that you can’t overlook is that the Eagles had all those key players in 2012 and they went just 2-12. While I don’t think Boston College is going to make it back to a bowl game, I have them just missing out on postseason play at 5-7. With their win total set exactly at 5, I don’t recommend a wager on either side of the number.

As far as betting the Eagles against the spread, I think the best bet is to wait and see what this team looks like in their first couple of games, but more than likely they will be a good team to fade. It’s not a secret what this team lost from last year and there’s no way the public is going to be on this team early, but it can sometimes take a few games before the books make the proper adjustments.

2014 Projections
ACC (Atlantic)
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
More College Football Predictions
Boston College Clemson Florida State Louisville
NC State Syracuse Wake Forest
Duke Georgia Tech Miami North Carolina
Pittsburgh Virginia Virginia Tech
ACC Big 12 American Athletic Big Ten
Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West
Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt

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