Boston College Football Predictions

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It was a difficult season in Chestnut Hill for Boston College fans. The Eagles only managed two wins and the lone victory inside the ACC was a mere 3-point win over Maryland. Of the 10 losses they suffered, 7 came by double-digits. They did have a couple of close losses, as they lost at Army 31-34 and in overtime at home to Virginia Tech 23-30.

The Eagles awful showing in 2012 and continued decline since the loss of quarterback Matt Ryan cost head coach Frank Spaziani his job. In comes former Temple head coach Steve Addazio, who compiled a 13-11 record in his two seasons with the Owls. Addazio surprisingly steps into a decent situation given how bad this team was in 2012. The Eagles lose just 16 lettermen and have 18 of the 22 starters back from last season.

The Eagles were -5 in the turnover department last year, which isn’t all that bad for a team that won just two games. With the return of senior quarterback Chase Rettig, who has started 33 games over his 3 seasons at Boston College, what figures to be an improved running game and a defense that has 10 starters back, the Eagles should be a much more efficient team in 2013.

Last Season
ACC (Atlantic)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
6th
2-10
4-8-0
5-6
19.8
29.7
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
18
8
10
3.125
57th
63rd
Head Coach Steve Addazio
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
13-11
13-11-0
7-6
7-6-0
5-5
5-5-0
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
1-0
1-0
1-1
1-1
5-5
4-6
2013 Schedule
2013 Boston College Eagles Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/31 Villanova
-17.5
1
9/6 Wake Forest
-3
0.56
9/14 @ USC
+21.5
0.00
9/28 Florida State
+17
0.00
10/5 Army
-10
0.77
10/12 @ Clemson
+22
0.00
10/26 @ North Carolina
+17
0.00
11/2 Virginia Tech
+15
0.00
11/9 @ New Mexico State
-6.5
0.73
11/16 NC State
+2.5
0.43
11/23 @ Maryland
+4
0.43
11/30 @ Syracuse
+2.5
0.47
Estimated Wins: 4.39

The schedule makers didn’t do the Eagles any favors. Of the seven teams in the Atlantic, the Eagles have the toughest schedule of them all. They are the only team to draw two of the top four out of the Coastal, as they have to go on the road to face North Carolina and host what figures to be a much-improved Virginia Tech squad.

For Boston College to reach the six-win mark and get back to a bowl game for the first time since 2010, they are going to have to win at least three of their four conference games against teams who aren’t expected to contend for an ACC Championship. One of those is a home game against Wake Forest in the second week of the season, while the other three come in the final three weeks.

The non-conference portion of the schedule isn’t all that easy either. They should have little trouble getting past Villanova in the season opener, but the other three could all prove challenging, especially a road game at USC.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
4.5
50 to 1
1,00 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

I’m confident in saying that I think Boston College will be a better team than the one that took the field last year, but I don’t know that it will translate into the win column like some would hope. More than anything the Eagles figure to be more competitive. It can be hard for a team to win games when it really doesn’t have a whole lot of experience in that department. I look for this team to be right there in several games only to found a way to lose in the fourth quarter.

I also have my concerns with the fact that most of their winnable games come late in the season. This team is already lacking confidence heading into 2013 and it might not take a whole lot for them to throw in the towel. You also have to take into account that they will be learning new systems on both sides of the ball.

There’s clearly potential for the Eagles to become bowl eligible, I just don’t think it’s going to happen. I’m giving them the benefit of the doubt and will call for them to win their three non-conference games outside of that showdown at USC and to grab another win inside the ACC.

2013 Projections
ACC (Atlantic)
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
7th
1-7
4-8
Under (4.5)
Boston College Football Resources
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Atlantic
Boston College Clemson Florida State Maryland
NC State Syracuse Wake Forest
Coastal
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Pittsburgh Virginia Virginia Tech
Conferences
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Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West
Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt

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