Chiefs Broncos Odds
The Denver Broncos (12-3) host the Kansas City Chiefs (2-13) Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in a Week 17 AFC West division matchup. Oddsmakers have listed the Broncos as a 16-point favorite and have set the total at 42.0.
Why Denver Covers
The Broncos are the hottest team in the NFL. They have won 10 consecutive games and are 8-1-1 against the spread in these contests. With an 11th straight victory, they can clinch a first-round bye in the AFC playoffs. They could also be in the running for home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs if the Indianapolis Colts can knock off the Houston Texans.
The Broncos haven’t just been scraping by during their winning streak. Six victories during their 10-game run have come by 10 points or more.
The Chiefs played the Broncos tough Nov. 25 but pride and bragging rights may not be enough reason for them to show up this week. That’s because a loss will ensure the Chiefs the No. 1 overall pick in the 2013 NFL draft.
The road has been very unkind to Kansas City. The Chiefs have just one win outside Arrowhead Stadium this season and have dropped five straight on the road by an average of 17.4 points heading into this contest.
While this is a lot of points to lay, the Broncos have proven they can put a whooping on their foes. Their last two victories, against the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns, have come by at least 17 points. It is also worth noting that Denver is 9-1 against the number when laying points this season.
Why Kansas City Covers
While a loss would ensure the Chiefs the No. 1 overall draft pick, that doesn’t mean they’ll roll over. They know it will take an exceptional performance to beat the Broncos on their home field so they don’t have to worry about the consequences of a win.
Kansas City has played the Broncos as tough as anyone during their winning streak. The reason for that is a ground game that ranks fifth in the NFL with 153.5 yards per contest.
Denver has held nine of its opponents below the century mark in rushing during its winning streak but gave up 148 rushing yards to the Chiefs.
Star running back Jamaal Charles could be poised for another big game. He rushed for 107 yards on 23 carries in the first meeting and is coming off a 226-yard performance on 22 totes in last week’s seven-point loss to the Colts.
Charles, who leads the AFC in rushing with 1,456 yards, is a big reason why the Chiefs have lost by 15 points or less in four of their last five games.
The Broncos have won only four games by more than 16 points during their current winning streak.
Denver head man John Fox may have hit the nail on the head. “Some teams you match up against better than others,” Fox said. “We had a tough game with these guys last time we played at their place.”
Denver ranks second in the NFL in scoring with 29.5 points per game, but has been limited to a total of 43 points in its last four games against Kansas City.