The Buffalo Bills finished up the 2012 regular season with an overall record of 6-10, landing them in a tie with the Jets for the worst record in the AFC East. Buffalo really didn’t come close to playing up to hype that surrounded them in the offseason. Their six wins came against the likes of the Chiefs, Browns, Cardinals, Dolphins, Jaguars and Jets. Not exactly a whole lot to hang your hat on.
Looking ahead to the 2013 season, Buffalo has the 7th easiest strength of schedule, as their opponents went just 121-135 last year. While that’s usually a good sign for a turnaround, I’m not sold on that being the case for Buffalo. The quarterback situation is a mess right now and the defense still needs a lot of work.
Outside of their six division games, the Bills will play the NFC South and AFC North, along with the Chiefs and Jaguars. Their three easiest games come against Cleveland, Jacksonville and Kansas City, but it wont be easy winning on the road against the Browns or Jaguars and the Chiefs figure to be a completely different team this year. Looking at their schedule, I think the Bills will be lucky to match last year’s six wins.
Here’s a complete look at the 2013 schedule for Buffalo along with my projected odds for each game.
Update – Cantor Gaming has released their odds for every game of the regular season. We’ve included that line, as well as the line we projected a few weeks before these were released. We’ve also added a column to show the likelihood that the team will win the game based on the odds given from Cantor. For some reason Cantor did not offer lines for any team for Week 17 of the season, so we used our line for the Week 17 calculations.
At the very bottom of the schedule you’ll see the expected win totals posted by both Cantor Gaming and Atlantis Casino, how many wins the odds project, and a recommendation based on those expected wins.
|WEEK||OPPONENT||BOYD’S SPREAD||CANTOR SPREAD||WIN CHANCE|
|CANTOR WIN TOTAL: 6.5||EXPECTED WINS:||6.28|
|ATLANTIS WIN TOTAL: 5||RECOMMENDATION:||UNDER|
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