10 Point College Football Teasers

Teasers are as popular as ever, but my biggest concern is that most people don’t think about whether or not they are actually a good bet. I wanted to find out just what lines were best for three-team 10-point teasers.

I looked at every college football game from 1989 to 2013 to come up with my data. First, I examined home favorites, road favorites, home underdogs, and road underdogs, found out how many times a game had each line (up to -15) and then looked at how many times a 10-point teaser would have resulted in that game winning (or pushing).

From there I calculated the cover rate and compared it to the winning percentage needed to profit based on normal three-team 10-point teaser odds (-120) at which you would need to hit at a 81.70% rate or better to show a profit. Cover rates that hit above that percentage have been highlighted for your convenience.

10-Point College Football Teasers

Updated 7-9-2014

Team Listed as a Favorite
Team Listed As an Underdog
Line
Home
Away
Line
Home
Away
-0.5 68.97% 79.31% +0.5 82.76% 75.86%
-1 74.73% 75.09% +1 77.85% 78.83%
-1.5 75.77% 79.10% +1.5 77.40% 76.29%
-2 77.55% 75.73% +2 76.19% 78.19%
-2.5 71.90% 81.88% +2.5 79.71% 77.95%
-3 75.81% 75.00% +3 73.55% 78.10%
-3.5 77.98% 77.08% +3.5 75.00% 71.50%
-4 72.47% 77.88% +4 71.49% 79.17%
-4.5 78.60% 85.80% +4.5 70.45% 76.09%
-5 77.06% 76.97% +5 69.10% 73.54%
-5.5 79.04% 77.47% +5.5 79.12% 72.05%
-6 80.60% 79.20% +6 75.00% 71.85%
-6.5 74.31% 80.80% +6.5 72.46% 74.86%
-7 78.63% 78.64% +7 73.81% 70.41%
-7.5 77.16% 78.22% +7.5 74.26% 72.32%
-8 76.72% 76.24% +8 70.11% 71.21%
-8.5 74.24% 70.68% +8.5 79.70% 73.23%
-9 77.35% 72.80% +9 71.43% 70.39%
-9.5 78.80% 77.12% +9.5 69.49% 66.30%
-10 77.12% 76.22% +10 75.94% 71.33%
-10.5 74.88% 71.31% +10.5 73.77% 73.46%
-11 75.36% 77.86% +11 66.17% 76.21%
-11.5 75.18% 80.00% +11.5 69.33% 76.60%
-12 72.86% 80.22% +12 71.28% 80.10%
-12.5 75.81% 81.82% +12.5 69.32% 68.28%
-13 73.26% 72.27% +13 80.30% 75.76%
-13.5 77.59% 69.92% +13.5 69.92% 69.71%
-14 77.33% 75.16% +14 64.52% 69.62%
-14.5 75.23% 70.59% +14.5 82.35% 72.07%
-15 69.59% 75.90% +15 67.06% 78.31%
% Needed 81.70%

As you can clearly see, there are very few times when at 10-point three team teaser has historically been profitable on a consistent basis. While you shouldn’t bet any of these numbers blindly, you can see which line have been better to tease than others.

More College Football Teaser Tables