Braves Free Pick (Teheran)

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TODAY’S FREE PLAY

Free Pick on Braves -128

Atlanta is showing some great value here as a relatively small home favorite. The Braves are 4-1 over their last 5 and will be taking on a Brewers team that is just 7-11 away from home and a mere 8-19 in night games.

Milwaukee has really struggled to put together a consistent offensive stretch and were limited to just 2 runs on 6 hits in yesterday’s loss to Detroit. This will be the Brewers 7th consecutive game away from home and I look for them to fail to get anything going offensively against Braves starter Julio Teheran.

Teheran is 3-1 with a less than impressive 4.33 ERA and 1.603 WHIP over his first 8 starts, but a lot of that has to do with 5 of his fist 8 starts coming on the road. Teheran is 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.188 WHIP over his last 3 home starts. Milwaukee’s Matt Garza on the other hand has a 7.48 ERA and 1.892 WHIP over 4 road starts and a 7.72 ERA and 1.592 WHIP over his last 3.

Garza is 3-15 against the money line in his last 18 road starts in the month of May. The Brewers are 8-25 in their last 33 as a underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-6 in Garza’s last 7 against the NL East. Braves are 7-0 in Teheran’s last 7 starts against the NL Central. Take Atlanta!

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