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Jimmy Boyd is on a Red-Hot 67-50 (57%) Run Over L21 Days and is currently the #11 Ranked Handicapper Overall. During 2014 he has $1,000 Players Profiting $27,570! Now is the perfect time to get a long-term package from one of the most trusted handicappers in the industry. Jimmy is on a Massive 225-194 (54%) NCAAF Run and is even better in the pros with a 73-48 (60%) NFL ATS Hot Streak! He’s also on a Sizzling 27-15 (64%) Run Over First 42 NHL Picks!

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TODAY’S FREE PLAY

Free Pick on Texas Longhorns +7

The books are begging for money on TCU with this line and will likely get it. However, I think the value is with Texas at home.

Charlie Strong has done a tremendous job of turning this team around after their 2-4 start. Texas is clearly playing their best football of the season right now and will be laying everything on the line in their regular season and home finale. Texas will also be extremely motivated to spoil in-state rival TCU’s hopes of getting into the 4-team playoff and I believe they have a great shot at winning this game outright.

While the Longhorns only win against a ranked opponent is that recent 33-16 victory over West Virginia, they have played several of their top opponents tough. They lost by just 3-points to UCLA (17-20), outplayed Oklahoma in a heartbreaking 26-31 defeat and kept it respectable against Baylor in a 7-28 loss.

Texas has played well defensively all season and come into this game ranked 27th in the country in total defense (346.5 ypg). They have been at their best against the pass, where they rank 13th (182.0 ypg). While TCU is 29th in rushing at 218.0 ypg, their strength is their passing attack, which ranks 8th at 323.6 ypg.

It’s not like Texas can’t stop the run. The Longhorns are allowing just 3.9 yards/carry against teams averaging 4.3 and just 5.5 yards per pass attempt versus teams averaging 7.5. Add in the home fans and the magnitude of this game and I think Texas is going to do a nice job of slowing down the Horned Frogs.

Another big key here is that Texas has grown big time on the offensive side of the ball. Over their last 3 games the Longhorns are averaging 31.7 points, which is 8 more than their season average of 23.7. They are also averaging 416.7 ypg, which is a big improvement over their season average of 366.9. TCU’s defense is giving up 30.2 ppg and 450.5 ypg on the road, where they have been far from impressive.

The Horned Frogs were fortunate to escape each of their last two road games with wins, narrowly beating both West Virginia (31-30) and Kansas (34-30). That poor showing against the Jayhawks really has me concerned about TCU’s ability to handle the pressure of what’s at stake.

There’s also strong system in play favoring a fade of the Horned Frogs after that near upset loss to Kansas. Road favorites who are an excellent offensive team (34+ ppg) against an average defensive team (21-28 ppg) after a win by 6-points or less are just 9-31 ATS over the last 10 seasons. That’s a 78% system in favor of the Longhorns. Take Texas!

Jimmy Boyd is on a Red-Hot 67-50 (57%) Run Over L21 Days and is currently the #11 Ranked Handicapper Overall. During 2014 he has $1,000 Players Profiting $27,570! Now is the perfect time to get a long-term package from one of the most trusted handicappers in the industry. Jimmy is on a Massive 225-194 (54%) NCAAF Run and is even better in the pros with a 73-48 (60%) NFL ATS Hot Streak! He’s also on a Sizzling 27-15 (64%) Run Over First 42 NHL Picks!

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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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