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Free Pick on LSU/Ole Miss UNDER 45

I’m expecting a defensive showdown Saturday night in Baton Rouge. The Tigers have had their defensive struggles this season, but are coming off a dominating performance against Kentucky last week. LSU held the Wildcats to just 3 points and 217 yards of total offense. A lot of people are writing off the Tigers after a couple of poor showing against Mississippi State and Auburn, but those are two of the most explosive offenses in the country. Ole Miss may be better than both of those teams, but it’s not because of their offense. It’s be big reason why the Rebels are only listed as a 3.5-point favorite.

I know the Tigers lost at home to the Bulldogs earlier this season, but don’t let that fool you into thinking LSU isn’t the same dominant team at home from year’s past. That’s just one game. Tiger Stadium is still one of the most difficult places in the country for opposing teams to come away with a win and I expect maximum effort here from LSU.

We have see the Ole Miss offense struggle against strong defensive teams on numerous occasions before breaking through with a couple of late scores. The Rebels had just 7 points going into the 4th quarter against Boise State and Memphis and just 10 versus Alabama. All 3 of those games finished UNDER the total.

I’ve went into detail on why I’m not expecting Ole Miss to put up a lot of points, only because there’s really not a lot of explanation needed to why LSU will struggle to score. Ole Miss has one of the elite defenses in the country and couldn’t matchup up better against a Tiger offense that is one dimensional with the run. The Rebels are 5th in the country against the run, giving up just 97.1 ypg. They are also allowing just 2.9 yards/carry against teams average 4.4.

UNDER is 13-3 in Ole Miss’ last 16 road games after forcing 3 or more turnovers in their last game and 15-5 in LSU’s last 20 home games after they gained 125 or less passing yards last time out.

We also see a strong system in play. The UNDER is 42-16 with a total of 42.5 to 49 points when you have a home team that allowed 3 points or less in the 1st half of their last game in a contest between two teams who outscoring opponents by 10+ points/game. That’s a 72% system. Take the UNDER!

Jimmy Boyd is the #7 Ranked Handicapper Overall. During 2014 he has $1,000 Players Profiting $36,060! Now is the perfect time to get a long-term football pass from a proven expert. Jimmy is on an Amazing 207-167 (55%) NCAAF Run and is even better in the pros with a 62-40 (61%) NFL Hot Streak! He’s also on a Red-Hot 27-12 (69%) Run Over L39 MLB Selections and Sizzling 9-3 (75%) Over First 12 NHL Picks!

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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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