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Florida Football Predictions

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Florida is coming off one of the most dominating seasons they have had in recent years, ranking as high as #1 in the nation at one point.  They had just one loss during the regular season, which came in a defensive battle against the Georgia Bulldogs.  That game was played on the road and was a knockout punch for the Gators’ national championship hopes.

Following the loss to Georgia the Gators went through a bit of a slump.  They beat a weak Missouri team by just 7 points and squeaked out a touchdown win against Louisiana-Lafayette.  In the Sugar Bowl Florida was dealt a 10 point loss at the hands of #21 ranked Louisville.  That is certainly not the ending to the season the Gators wanted to have but it will serve as motivation for the 10 returning starters as they prepare for the upcoming season.

While the Gators have a strong recruiting class coming in and a decent amount of starters returning from last season, they have a few obstacles to overcome.  They have an extremely difficult schedule and they do not have the talent on the defensive side of the ball that they had last season.  If they can find a way to overcome their shortcomings defensively, then the Gators will be a dangerous team that nobody in the SEC will want to face.

Last Season
SEC (East)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
2nd
11-2
7-6
5-7
26.5
14.5
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
10
5
4
3.30
4th
7th
Head Coach Will Muschamp
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
18-8
12-14
12-2
6-8
5-3
5-3
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
1-1
1-1
1-1
1-1
4-3
1-6
2013 Schedule
2013 Florida Gators Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 Toledo
-17
1
9/7 @ Miami
-2.5
.57
9/21 Tennessee
-12
.86
9/28 @ Kentucky
-20
1
10/5 Arkansas
-17
1
10/12 @ LSU
+4
.40
10/19 @ Missouri
-6
.70
11/2 @ Georgia
+4
.40
11/9 Vanderbilt
-21
1
11/16 @ South Carolina
+5
.38
11/23 Georgia Southern
-35
1
11/30 Florida State
-2
.56
Estimated Wins: 8.87

With one of the most difficult schedules in the nation the Florida Gators will be in full control of their own destiny.  If they are able to run the table, they will have their chance at not only a conference title, but the national championship.  However, when you look at how difficult their schedule is, a perfect season seems a little out of reach.

Florida will play in-state rival Miami in Week 2 of the season.  That game will be played at Miami and the preseason odds have the Gators favored by just 2.5 points.  Any in-state rivalry with such a tight line is really a toss up to determine the outcome.  With that being said, Florida is certainly expected to be the better team, which explains why they are favored on the road.

Another challenge for the Gators will come in mid-October when they face LSU on the road.  The Tigers are a very talented team, and playing on their home field has given them the edge over the Gators in the preseason odds.  One thing Florida will have in their favor for that game is the fact that LSU will be coming off back-to-back road games, and will be traveling to Ole Miss the following week.

The Gators face Georgia at a neutral location, and they will be outmatched in that game  which is why they are listed as preseason four-point underdogs.  I would be surprised to see Florida pull off the win against the Bulldogs without the benefit of home field advantage. Florida will have yet another challenge on the road when they face South Carolina in November.  The Gamecocks are going to be tough to beat at home and if Florida comes into that game with two losses already I don’t give them much of a chance at picking up a win.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
SEC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
9.5
8 to 1
20 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

While the Gators are a great team, I believe their difficult schedule will be too much to handle.  They are playing in a conference that is loaded with talent, and that will not be very forgiving on the road.  Florida’s head coach Will Muschamp is in his third season and the expectations will be high regardless of schedule difficulty.

Florida’s biggest problem is their lack of talent at the receiver position.  With that lack of talent also comes a lack of depth.  The Gators were able to survive last season without a marquee receiver due to the tight end position picking up some of the slack.  With Clay Burton, the projected starter at tight end, I don’t think they will see success with that same game plan.

There are some bright spots for this Gators team.  Quarterback Jeff Driskel is experienced and should do a great job of leading the team.  They return starters at the center and right guard positions, so the run game should still be able to see success.  Matt Jones is expected to be the workhorse for Florida and many have high hopes for this sophomore effort after a very impressive spring practice.

2013 Projections
SEC (East)
SEC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
3rd
5-3
9-3
UNDER 9.5
Florida Football Resources
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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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