Florida State Football Predictions

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Florida State finished up the 2012 season with an overall record of 12-2. The Seminoles won the Atlantic Division with a 7-1 record and would go on to beat Georgia Tech in the ACC Title Game. Florida State captured it’s final win of the year in a 31-10 blowout victory over Northern Illinois in the Orange Bowl.

Head coach Jimbo Fisher must overcome the loss of 11 players to the NFL Draft, including starting quarterback E.J. Manuel. While that raises some concern for the offense, the defense brings back only four starters as well. For most schools this would be a recipe for complete disaster, but for Florida State it’s just the way it is. The Seminoles have a top-five recruiting class over the last four years and have more than enough talent to fill the voids on both sides of the ball.

The expectation is for red-shirt freshman Jameis Winston to take over for Manuel. Winston was one of the top recruits in the country coming out of high school and could be this year’s version of Johnny Manziel. He’s got a big arm and the speed to burn defenses with his feet. If he can mature quickly, Florida State has the potential to defend their ACC title and potentially play for a National Championship.

Last Season
ACC (Atlantic)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
1st
12-2
5-9-0
7-5
39.3
14.7
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
11
7
4
4.20
5th
71st
Head Coach Jimbo Fisher
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
31-10
20-21-0
17-4
11-10-0
10-5
6-9-0
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
3-0
3-0
0-1
0-1
7-3
5-5
2013 Schedule
2013 Florida State Seminoles Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
9/2 @ Pittsburgh
-13
0.87
9/14 Nevada
-26
1
9/21 Bethune-Cookman
-53
1
9/28 @ Boston College
-17
1
10/5 Maryland
-20
1
10/19 @ Clemson
+2
0.44
10/26 NC State
-20
1
11/2 Miami
-8
0.75
11/9 @ Wake Forest
-18
1
11/16 Syracuse
-16
1
11/23 Idaho
-42
1
11/30 @ Florida
+2
0.44
Estimated Wins: 10.5

Florida State will kick off their season with a conference road game against one of the ACC’s newest members with Pittsburgh, before a couple of easy non-conference games at home against Nevada and Bethune-Cookman.

There’s a good chance the Seminoles will be undefeated when they go on the road to face Clemson on Oct. 19. Most believe, including myself, that game will decide who represents the Atlantic in the ACC Championship Game. Florida State rallied from a 14-point second-half deficit to beat the Tigers 49-37 last year, but the home team is 10-1 over the last 11 games in the series. One advantage Florida State will have is that they come into this game off a bye-week.

The Seminoles could get a bit of a test at home against what figures to be a very good Miami team, but the rest of the conference schedule seems very manageable. Florida State biggest challenge of the season could come in the season finale when they have to go on the road to face in-state rival Florida.

While Clemson and Florida are the two games everyone will be talking about, that’s not to say this team won’t get upset. Just last year they lost at NC State as a 16-point favorite.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
10.5
5 to 2
33 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

The Seminoles lost a lot of talent to the NFL, but I don’t think it’s going to hurt them as much as some might expect. Defensively I don’t think this team will miss a beat, which is a big reason why you see them as such big favorites in a number of conference games. The rest of the teams in the ACC just aren’t that strong on that side of the ball. Even if Winston struggles early, Florida State should be able to generate more than enough offense out of their running game.

Personally, I’m really excited to see what Winston has to offer on the field. I think he’s going to be a special player and one that could have this team winning a National Championship in his first season on the job. However, I’m going to take the conservative approach and pick the Seminoles to finish 2nd behind Clemson. This is the best team the Tigers have fielded under Dabo Swinney and they have already proven they can hang with Florida State.

Typically when a team goes just 5-9 ATS the previous year, you would expect to find some value on them the next season. I don’t know if that will be the case with Florida State. I don’t think there’s near as much hype surrounding this team as there was in 2012, but there’s clearly a lot of respect being given. With an inexperienced team like the Seminoles, I wouldn’t be surprised if they were a good fade early on and a strong team to back down the stretch.

2013 Projections
ACC (Atlantic)
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
2nd
7-1
10-2
Under (10.5)
Florida State Football Resources
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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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