Georgia Florida Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd
This Saturday the Georgia Bulldogs (4-3) will go to battle against the Florida Gators (4-3) in a neutral site matchup at Everbank Field in Jacksonville. Both teams come in riding a two-game losing streak, which is the first time that has happened since 1926. Both schools have been decimated with injuries, but thanks to South Carolina’s win over Missouri each still has an outside shot at winning the SEC East. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 EST and will be televised on CBS. Oddsmakers currently have Georgia listed as a 2.5-point favorite.
Why Georgia Will Cover:
The Bulldogs have won each of the last two meetings in this series and are expected to get a huge boost offensively with the return of star running back Todd Gurley. With the Florida defense dealing with a bunch of injuries right now, having Gurley on the field is a huge boost for Georgia. Gurley rushed 22 times for 118 yards and a touchdown in last year’s victory.
One of the big problems for the Bulldogs of late has been the play of their defense. Georgia has allowed at least 31-points in each of their last four games and six of seven overall. Florida simply doesn’t have the offensive fire-power to score a ton of points. The Gators have reached the 30-point mark just twice all season. In a game where both defenses figure to dominate, it’s hard to not like your chances with Georgia’s offense doing enough to win this game by at least a field goal.
Georgia has been a good team to back away from home against good teams. The Bulldogs are 56-36 ATS in their last 92 road games vs a team with a winning record. Florida on the other hand is 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record and 1-8 following a straight up loss.
The Bulldogs are 56-36 ATS in their last 92 road games vs a team with a winning record. Florida on the other hand is 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a winning record.
The Bulldogs also have a history of exceeding expectations late in the year, while Florida has struggled to produce at a high level. Georgia is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in the month of November. The Gators on the other hand are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in the final month of the regular season.
Why Florida Will Cover:
The Gators certainly won’t be lacking any motivation in their showdown against rival Georgia. Florida hadn’t lost two straight in the series since 1988-89 and are going to do everything in their power to make sure it doesn’t reach three in row. If that wasn’t enough motivation, last year’s loss to the Bulldogs was the only regular season loss the Gators suffered all season. It essentially knocked them out of the SEC title game and a chance to play in the BCS Championship Game.
Something you have to consider is all three of Florida’s losses this season have come on the road. While this isn’t technically a home game, it’s going to feel like one. Florida is dealing with some injuries right now, but thanks to the bye week should be in much better shape than they were in their last game against Missouri. The Gators still have one of the best defenses in the country. They rank 4th in total defense (273.1 ypg) and 8th in scoring defense (16.3 ypg). Last year they limited the Bulldogs to just 273 yards of offense, as Murray went just 12 of 24 for 150 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions.
With both teams coming into this matchup off a bye, it’s worth noting the difference in how these teams have done in this spot. Florida is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye, while Georgia is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 coming off a bye.
Florida is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye, while Georgia is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 coming off a bye.
Turnovers have really been a problem for the Bulldogs of late. Georgia has coughed up the football seven times in their last two games. They had just five in their previous five games combined. Florida has forced 14 turnovers on the season and you have to like their chances of winning the turnover battle. Something they didn’t do a year ago. The Gators turned it over six times, yet still only lost by 8-points. With the way Georgia’s defense is struggling, Florida should be able to have one of their better games offensively.
Early Lean – Florida +2.5