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Georgia Tech Football Predictions

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Georgia Tech Football Predictions

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are coming off another mediocre season under head coach Paul Johnson. The Yellow Jackets were able to go 5-3 inside the ACC, but managed just a 7-6 record overall and lost 17-25 to Ole Miss in the Music City Bowl.

Georgia Tech has won between 6 and 8 games each of the last four years and not finished worse than 3rd in the Coastal in each of the last 6 seasons. However, their model of consistency in the ACC could be put to the test in 2014. The Yellow Jackets have just 10 starters coming back from last year and only four of those come on the defensive side of the ball.

Last Season
ACC (Coastal)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
T-2nd
7-6
5-8
8-5
35.1
22.8
2014 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 Wofford
-38
1
9/6 @ Tulane
-17.5
1
9/13 Georgia Southern
-35
1
9/20 @ Virginia Tech
+7
0.30
10/4 Miami
+4
0.38
10/11 Duke
-7.5
0.73
10/18 @ North Carolina
+12
0.18
10/25 @ Pittsburgh
+3
0.43
11/1 Virginia
-13
0.83
11/8 @ NC State
-3
0.57
11/15 Clemson
+6
0.34
11/29 @ Georgia
+14
0.15
Estimated Wins: 6.91

Not only do they have to replace starting quarterback Vad Lee, they lose their top two rushers and look to be weaker on both the offensive line, where they go from having 105 career starts to just 45. It’s even worse in the trenches on the defensive side of the ball. Georgia Tech only has one starter back and loses star defensive end Jeremiah Attaochu (12.5 sacks, 2nd round draft pick).

While it’s a promising sign going forward that the Yellow Jackets were able to land the 49th ranked recruiting class of 2014, a lot of those players aren’t going to be making huge impacts until a couple years down the road. Georgia Tech’s 3-year average recruiting rank is just 59th. This team has done a solid job of reloading and not taking a major step back, but this clearly looks to be a rebuilding year.

Last year the Yellow Jackets posted respectable yards per points. They had a 13.2 ypp on offense and 15.8 ypp on defense. Unfortunately this is an area where teams tend to regress to the mean and that certainly figures to be the case for Georgia Tech, given their 5-year average ypp on offense is 14.0 and on defense it’s 14.32 (larger number is better on defense).

The good news for Georgia Tech is they lucked out with a favorable schedule. For starters,they play in the weaker Coastal division of the ACC and have a fortunate non-conference schedule that features three easy wins against the likes of Wofford, Tulane and Georgia Southern. They also avoid having to play both Florida State and Louisville out of the Atlantic and get to host their cross-division matchup against Clemson. On top of that the Yellow Jackets have a couple of favorable home games against Duke and Virginia, plus a two winnable contests on the road versus Pittsburgh and NC State. If their’s one thing that can keep the Yellow Jackets in the top half of the ACC, it’s their soft schedule.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
6.5
35 to 1
750 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

As you have probably gathered by this point, I think Georgia Tech is headed for a down year in 2014. The Yellow Jackets streak of finishing in the top half of the Coastal is in major jeopardy and I personally think it’s done for. I have Georgia Tech going 3-5 inside the ACC, which puts them in a tie with Pittsburgh for 5th in their division. Luckily their easy non-conference schedule should allow them to get back to a bowl game, but it won’t be enough for them to eclipse their season win total of 6.5.

Not enough value for me to get excited about playing the Yellow Jackets win total, but I do expect this to be a solid team to fade against the spread. The easy schedule will allow for some comfortable wins and in turn should have them getting too much respect against the top teams in the conference and on the road versus opponents such as Pittsburgh and NC States.

2014 Projections
ACC (Coastal)
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
T-5th
3-5
6-6
UNDER 6.5
Georgia Tech Football Resources
More Georgia Tech Football Predictions

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ACC
Atlantic
Boston College Clemson Florida State Louisville
NC State Syracuse Wake Forest
Coastal
Duke Georgia Tech Miami North Carolina
Pittsburgh Virginia Virginia Tech
Conferences
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Conference USA Independents MAC Mountain West
Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt

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