Jets Rams Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd - Google+
The St. Louis Rams (3-5-1) host the New York Jets (3-6) Sunday in non-conference action. Oddsmakers have listed the Rams as a 3.5-point favorite and have set the total at 38.5.
Why St. Louis Covers
The Rams gave the San Francisco 49ers all they wanted and more on the road last week as they tied them 24-24 while outgaining them 458-341. New York didn’t fare as well when it faced the 49ers.
The Jets were blown out 34-0 at home by the Niners Sept. 30 and were outgained 379-145 in that game. It is also noting that the Jets were blown out 28-7 last week on the road by the Seattle Seahawks. That’s because the Rams defeated the Seahawks 19-13 on Sept. 30.
The loss is also significant because the Jets are on an 8-19 against the spread slide when coming off a road blowout loss of 14 points or more. They have lost by an average 4.9 points in this situation.
The Jets have given up 28 points or more in each of their last three games. This stat is significant because they are on a 1-10 against the spread slid in road games after giving up 25 points or more in two straight games. They have lost by an average of 15.9 points in this situation.
The Rams are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games. Their covering ways could continue considering they are on a 7-0 against the spread run after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Rams are 5-1 straight up and against the spread in their last six games versus the Rams, including 3-0 straight up and against the spread at home during this span.
Why New York Covers
The Rams are 0-3-1 in their last four games and were crushed 45-7 by the New England Patriots during this stretch. That lopsided loss is significant because the Jets took the Pats to overtime.
The Rams have not been a good investment against losing teams. In fact, they have failed to cover the number in seven of their last nine against teams that have a losing record. They are even on a 1-5 against the spread slide in home games versus teams that have a losing mark on the road.
The New York defense, which ranks 24th in the NFL with 25.3 points allowed per game, has left plenty to be desired. However, it is worth noting that the Rams are just 3-12 against the spread in their last 15 home games in the second half of the season against poor defensive teams that give up 24.0 points or more per game.
The numbers also show that teams headed up my Jeff Fisher have struggled against teams that are good in the punt return game. Consider that his teams are 0-9 against the spread all-time in home games in the second half of the season versus excellent punt return teams that average 12.0 yards or more per return. His teams have lost these games by an average score of 18.9 to 13.8.
The Jets won the most recent meeting between these two 47-3 Nov. 9, 2008.
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