2015 Maryland Football Predictions

Maryland surprised a lot of people in their first season as a member of the Big 10. The Terrapins finished 3rd in the Big 10 East behind Ohio State and Michigan State with a 4-4 record in conference play.

They also went 3-1 in non-conference play, with the only loss coming 37-40 at home to West Virginia. They received a difficult matchup against Stanford in the Foster Farms Bowl and were beat 45-21 to end the year at 7-6.

Heading into what will be head coach Randy Edsall’s 5th year on the job, the expectations aren’t high going into 2015. Maryland loses 25 lettermen from last year’s team and has just 10 returning starters (6 offense, 4 defense).

Last Season
Big Ten (East)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
4-4 (3rd)
7-6
6-7
7-6
28.5
30.2
Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
9/5 Richmond
-21.5
1
9/12 Bowling Green
-11
.80
9/19 USF
-13
.83
9/26 @ West Virignia
+11
.20
10/3 Michigan
+2.5
.46
10/10 @ Ohio State
+24
0
10/24 Penn State (Baltimore)
+6
.34
10/31 @ Iowa
+6.5
.32
11/7 Wisconsin
+10
.23
11/14 @ Michigan State
+17
0
11/21 Indiana
-3
.57
11/28 @ Rutgers
+3
.43
Estimated Wins: 5.18

*We take the win chance by using the college football win percentage chart for each point spread

Roster Breakdown

The Terrapins improved from 26.2 ppg in 2013 to 28.5 ppg last year, but their yardage production dropped from 397 ypg down to 342 ypg. Most of their offense came from their passing attack, as they only managed 122 ypg (3.7 yards/carry) on the ground.

The offense figures to have an even harder time moving the ball in 2015, as they have to replace starting quarterback C.J. Brown. They do have a capable replacement in senior Caleb Rowe, who has seen action the last two years, but Brown was a major part of the running game. He led the team in both rushing yards (539) and rushing touchdowns (8).

So while they have their top two running backs returning in Brandon Ross and Wes Brown, the rush numbers don’t figure to improve all that much. Another troubling concern for the offense is they lose their dynamic duo at wide receiver in Stefon Diggs and Deon Long, who combined for 113 receptions, 1,367 yards and 7 touchdowns.

The offensive line isn’t in a whole lot better shape, even with 3 starters returning from last year. However, Maryland does have a number of highly touted freshman and sophomores who could end up forcing their way onto the field and potentially turn this unit into a strength.

The defense was a major disappointment last year, as the Terrapins went from giving up 25.3 ppg in 2013 to allowing 30.2 ppg, despite returning 9 starters on that side of the ball. Now they have just 4 starters coming back for the 2015 season, which has to be a major concern.

The biggest losses from last year come on the front 7. Maryland loses 3 starters up front on the defensive line, including 2nd-Team All-Big Ten defensive end Andre Monroe and talented nose tackle Darius Kilgo (6th round draft pick). They do get back junior defensive end Yannick Ngakoue (6 sacks) as well as senior defensive end Quinton Jefferson (13 starts in 2013, medical red-shirt last year).

If you think the losses along the defensive line are bad, it’s much worse at linebacker. Maryland doesn’t have a single starter back from last year and in total loses 104 career starts. That includes their #1 and #3 tacklers from last year in Cole Ferrand and L.A. Goree.

On the bright side of things, the Terrapins do get back 3 starters to a secondary that played well at times last year. Junior corner William Likely and senior safety Sean Davis are two of the better defensive backs in the Big 10. The big concern is whether or not this unit can be as productive with so little experience in front of them.

Future Odds
Regular Season Win Total
Big Ten East Odds
Big Ten Championship Odds
Playoff Odds
National Championship Odds
4.5
+5500
+10000
N/A
+40000
Odds Courtesy of 5Dimes

*Odds updated live on our college football odds page

Season Predictions

It’s easy to see why expectations are way down this season with what this team lost from last year on both sides of the ball. Oddsmakers certainly aren’t expecting much out of this team, as they went ahead and set their win total at 4.5 after they have won 7 regular season games each of the last two years.

I’m certainly not going to go out on a limb and pick Maryland to be a factor in the Big 10 in 2015. The only conference game they are expected to be favored in, is a home game against Indiana late in the year and that will be no easy victory.

The Terrapins have a great shot at opening 3-0 in non-conference play, but will likely lose at West Virignia, meaning they would need to win 2 conference games to eclipse their 4.5 win total. I don’t see that happening, as I have them going just 1-7 in the Big 10 to finish up at 4-8.

2015 Projections
Big Ten (East)
Big Ten Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
T-6th
1-7
4-8
UNDER 4.5
More College Football Predictions