Packers Giants Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd - Google+
The New York Giants (6-4) host the Green Bay Packers (7-3) Sunday night in Week 12 NFC non-division action. Oddsmakers have listed the Giants as a three-point favorite and have set the total at 51.0.
Why New York Covers
The Giants have lost their last two games but should have an opportunity to bounce back strong here. After all, they are at home where they have won three of their last four and should be rested and prepared following a bye week.
The Giants won 37-20 at Green Bay in last season’s playoffs. The Packers had no answer for New York’s explosive passing attack. Eli Manning completed 21 of 33 passes for 330 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in the game. Manning has struggled the last few games, but I expect him to be very focused coming off a bye.
Despite the recent struggles, the Giants still rank ninth in the NFL in passing offense with 256.0 yards per game. They should be able to find success through the air against a Green Bay defense that ranks 21st in the league against the pass with 244.4 yards allowed per game.
The Giants have been a terrific investment since coach Tom Coughlin arrived. Excluding pushes, they are an awesome 82-63 against the spread under his watch. That’s an impressive 56.6 percent cover rate.
The Giants have especially been a good bet in games the oddsmakers expect to be close. Under Coughlin, they are 33-21 against the number in games when the line is +3 to -3.
It is also worth noting that New York is on a 9-2-1 against the spread run versus teams that have a winning record.
Why Green Bay Covers
While the Giants have stumbled lately, the Packers have been rolling. They have won their last five games by an average of 11.0 points and are 4-1 against the spread during this stretch. The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two.
New York is at home and off a bye, but neither of these factors have treated its backers well lately. The Giants are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games and 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games following a bye week.
If you can find the Packers catching points, it has been in your best interest to take them. Green Bay is an impressive 24-12 against the spread when valued as an underdog under coach Mike McCarthy, and that’s not all.
The Packers are 19-7 against the number as a road underdog under their current boss, 16-5 against the spread as a road underdog of seven points or less and 9-2 against the spread as a road dog of three points or less. They have won by an average of 8.2 points in these 11 games.
Green Bay has also been able to rise to the occasion against top-notch competition. In fact, it has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games versus teams that have a winning record.
The Giants won the most recent meeting, but the Packers had won the previous two, including a 38-35 victory in New York in last season’s regular-season showdown. The Packers have also won six of the last nine meetings.
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