Rams Bills Odds
Posted by Steve Janus - Google+
The St. Louis Rams are coming off the biggest win of their season as they beat the 49ers in overtime 16-13. Their defense played amazing as they shutdown Frank Gore and Colin Kaepernick. The Rams offense wasn’t great as they were facing one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, but it was enough. The Bills are coming off a big win over Jacksonville in a game where almost everything seemed to click. The passing offense was terrible (112 yards), the run game was there and the defense played great. This is going to be a great game which will feature a great Rams defense which ranks 12th in passing defense at 226.3 yards/game and rank 13th against the run allowing just 114.4 yards/game. It will also have an explosive Bills offense which ranks 26th through the air (which could be better) averaging 198.5 yards/game and the 4thbest run game in the league averaging 147.9 yards/game.
Reasons why the Rams should cover:
Their on a high right now after beating their rival in the 49ers. Will it be a lift or will it crush them? Sam Bradford has looked great as of late and Steven Jackson has looked good. Chris Givens has filled in nicely for injured Danny Amendola. Last week Bradford threw for 221 yards with no touchdowns and no turnovers. Jackson rushed for 48 yards on 21 carries and Chris Givens had 11 receptions for 92 yards on 14 targets.
Its not sure yet if Danny Amendola will play on Sunday, but to have him and Givens out wide would be a huge lift for this team. The defense has been playing great as stated above. The offense ranks 22nd in throwing the ball averaging 212.5 yards/game and 14th on the ground rushing for 115.1 yards/game.
If the Rams are going to cover this game Bradford, Amendola and Givens will have to have success through the air while Steven Jackson has success on the ground. Their defense will also have to figure out how to stop C.J. Spiller.
Trends:
The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Reasons why the Bills should cover:
Chan Gailey realized that he needs to have Spiller in the backfield as much as possible in their win over the Dolphins and in the following week at the Colts. But last week Fred Jackson ran the ball 25 times for 109 yards while Spiller ran it 14 times for 77 yards and a touchdown.
The success of this team feeds off its running game. Usually you can expect more than 112 passing yards, but they still got the win.
The Bills defense hasn’t been great this season but they have been good against the pass. They rank 13th against the pass allowing just 229.3 yards/game, but they are terrible against the run ranked 30th in the league allowing 139.2 yards/game. If the Bills are thinking about winning, they need to stop Steven Jackson.
Trends:
The Bills are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Right now the line is set at Buffalo Bills -3 with the total being 42.5 points.
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