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Redskins Eagles Odds

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The Washington Redskins can make a strong argument for biggest disappointment in the league this season.  After making the playoffs with a rookie quarterback last season, they sit on a 3-6 record and are 1-4 when playing on the road.  They will try to pick up their second road win of the season this week when they face an Eagles team that has yet to win a game at home.

It is hard to believe the Philadelphia Eagles are tied for first place in the NFC East considering they have yet to win a game at home.  Three of their four home losses this season have come by eight points or more.  They have losses to key division opponents, getting beat by Dallas in a 17-3 game, and the Giants in a game that finished with a 15-7 final score.

Kick-off takes place this Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.  This exciting NFC showdown is being broadcast regionally by FOX.  The oddsmakers are favoring the home team in this matchup, listing the Eagles as 3.5-point favorites over the Redskins.  The total for this game has been set at 53-points indicating the oddsmakers expect this game to be a shootout.

Why Washington Covers

The Washington Redskins have not done a lot of scoring the the first half, but the team still averages an impressive 25.6 points per game.  Their ground attack ranks among the top teams in the league right along side the Eagles.  Washington averages 151 rushing yards per game on 5.1 yards per carry.  They have struggled to move the ball through the air, due in large part to the questionable status of quarterback RGIII’s knee.  As the season progresses RGIII has looked more and more comfortable in the pocket.  He is completing over 60% of his pass attempts for 254 passing yards per game, and has thrown for 12 touchdowns this season.  He is also second on the team in rushing yards with 301 on the season, but has yet to gain a rushing touchdown for the Redskins.

The Washington Redskins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against NFC East opponents.

Much like their opponent this week, Washington’s defense has struggled.  However, they have faced a much stronger schedule than the Eagles.  In fact, Washington’s opponents have a scoring average of 27 points per game.  They have held those opponents to slightly less than their average when running the ball.  The secondary has been torched, but they have faced some of the best quarterbacks in the league.  With more game film available on Nick Foles, the Eagles should be able to put together a defensive strategy to confuse and cause trouble for the inexperienced quarterback.  If they are able to accomplish that task then they will have a key matchup advantage over the Eagles.

Why Philadelphia Covers

The Eagles offense has been phenomenal with Nick Foles under center.  He has five less attempts than Michael Vick, but he has completed nine more passes.  He also has 41 more passing yards than Vick, and has thrown 16 touchdowns without a single interception.  The claim that Michael Vick is a more mobile quarterback also doesn’t hold up.  Foles has been sacked five less times than Vick this season.  Philadelphia’s running game has been the best in the NFL this season.  They are gaining 152 yards per game on five yards per carry.  They will face a Redskins defense that has struggled defending the run, giving up 114 rushing yards per game on 4.3 yards per carry.  Expect both Foles and LeSean McCoy to have very big games.

The Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

The Eagles defense started the season a little slow, but they have quickly turned things around the past several weeks.  The have not given up more than 21-points since their week four loss to the Denver Broncos.  The held the high-powered Cowboys offense to a mere 17 points in a losing effort during week seven, and gave up just 13 points to a depleted Packers offense last week.  The Redskins have been extremely inconsistent offensively, especially on the road and if the Eagles offense continues to move the ball like they have giving rest to the defense between drives, I think they can have another strong performance this week.

My Prediction

The Eagles should pick up their first win of the season this week against the struggling Washington Redskins.  Washington’s defense has been horrible this year, and the emergence of Nick Foles has made the Eagles one of the best offensive teams in the league.  They are coming off big wins over the Raiders and Packers the past two weeks, and I expect that trend to continue against the Redskins on Sunday.

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