Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd - Google+
The Philadelphia Eagles (4-10) host the Washington Redskins (8-6) Sunday at 1:00 PM ET in NFC East division action. Oddsmakers have listed the Redskins as a 4.5-point favorite and have set the total at 44.5.
Why Washington Covers
The Redskins have tied the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants for first place in the NFC East division behind a brilliant run. Washington has won each of its last five games both straight up against the spread and has defeated all three of its division rivals during this stretch. This run started with a 31-6 win over the Eagles on Nov. 18.
The Redskins even won big without rookie sensation Robert Griffin III last week. They won 38-21 on the road against the Cleveland Browns behind another rookie, Kirk Cousins. The former Michigan State signal caller connected on 26 of 37 passes for 329 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
If Griffin III isn’t able to go Sunday, Cousins looks to be a more than capable replacement.
The Eagles have been a terrible investment. They are 3-10-1 against the number in all games this season, including 0-6-1 against the spread in home games. They have lost by an average score of 28.3 to 20.1 in these seven contests.
Washington has been a much better investment. It is 9-5 against the spread on the season and has covered the number in four of its last five road contests.
It is significant that the Eagles enter off a 34-13 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. That’s because they are on a 0-7 against the spread run in home games after one or more consecutive losses. They have lost by an average score of 26.9 to 20.0 in this situation.
Why Philadelphia Covers
Prior to losing the season’s first meeting, the Eagles had won three in a row and five of six against the Redskins. Their last three wins against Washington have come by an average of 20.7 points.
Griffin III completed 14 of 15 passes for 200 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions in the first meeting. He also carried the ball 12 times for 84 yards. While Cousins played well last week, the Eagles would certainly consider it dodging a bullet if Griffin III isn’t able to go. He is currently listed as questionable with a knee injury and won’t be at 100 percent if he does go.
Washington may have won the first meeting, but the Eagles have been a solid play in revenge spots. In fact, they are on an impressive 55-33 against the spread run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.
The Eagles were smoked by the Bengals last week, but that doesn’t mean you should automatically turn your back on them. Consider that they are on an 18-6 against the spread run in games following a loss of 21 points or more. They are a perfect 9-0 against the number during this stretch if the loss occurred at home. Philadelphia has won by an average score of 24.1 to 16.9 in these nine instances.
The Redskins don’t have a good history in the favorite role. In fact, they are just 49-81 against the spread when laying points over the last decade. They are 27-47 against the spread during this stretch when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points.
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