Redskins Giants Odds

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Redskins Giants Odds

Week 4 will feature an NFC East showdown on Thursday Night Football, as the Washington Redskins (1-2, 2-1 ATS) will host the New York Giants (1-2, 1-2 ATS). Kickoff is scheduled for 8:25 EST at FedEx Field and will be televised on both CBS and NFL Network. Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as a 3.5-point home favorite with the total set at 45 points.

New York won and covered both meetings last year. The Giants came away with 24-17 victory at Washington as a 1-point dog in Week 13 and followed that up with a 20-6 at home as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 17. It’s worth noting that prior to last year the Redskins had covered 5 straight in the series.

Early Lean on Redskins -3.5

The home team has dominated on Thursday Night Football so far this season. Seattle defeated Green Bay 36-16, Baltimore crushed Pittsburgh 26-6 and last week the Falcons annihilated the Buccaneers 56-14. It just goes to show you how difficult these weekday games are on the road team. I’m expecting the trend to continue with the Redskins having no problem getting past the Giants, especially with Washington coming into this contest with some serious revenge after losing both meetings last year.

New York was able to avoid an 0-3 start with a 30-17 home win over the Texans last week. While it was an impressive performance, I’m not buying the Giants have all the sudden are better team than the one that lost 14-35 at Detroit in Week 1 and 14-25 at home to Arizona in Week 2. I still don’t trust Eli Manning and this offense to be able to play at high level and I think they are going to find it difficult to move the ball against a much improved Washington defense.

Washington is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after holding their previous opponent under 90 yards rushing and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring more than 30 points.

Despite giving up 37 points in a losing effort at Philadelphia last week, the Redskins really did a nice job of slowing down the Eagles high-powered offensive attack. Philadelphia only managed just 379 yards of total offense. The most impressive stat in my mind was that Washington held LeSean McCoy and Eagle’s ground attack to just 54 yards on 25 attempts (2.2 yards/carry). One of the big reasons New York’s offense was able to get going last week, was due to their running game exploding for 193 yards. I don’t see the Giants having success on the ground against the league’s 3rd ranked run defense.

On the flip side of things, Washington’s offense is more than capable of moving the football against this Giants defense. The Redskins come in ranked 3rd in passing (308.7 ypg) and 9th in rushing (135.3 ypg). New York is just 22nd against the pass (258.3 ypg) and 14th against the run (106.3 ypg). I’m still a firm believer that Washington is better off with Kirk Cousins at quarterback and I expect him to shine in the national spotlight.

There’s a solid system here in favor of the Redskins. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who are averaging 120-150 rushing yards/game against an opponent that’s allowing 95-125 rushing yards/game are 74-38 (66%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Washington is also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after holding their previous opponent under 90 yards rushing and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after scoring more than 30 points. New York is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 following a SU win.

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