This Sunday the New York Giants (4-9, 5-8 ATS) will host the Washington Redskins (3-10, 4-9 ATS) in a meaningless NFC East showdown. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX. Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as a 6.5-point home favorite with the total set at 46.5 points.
The Giants have won each of the last 3 meetings in the series, including a 45-14 blowout win at Washington as a 3-point underdog on Thursday Night Football back in Week 4. New York was able to snap their 7-game losing streak with an impressive 36-7 win at Tennessee last Sunday, while the Redskins woes continued in a 0-24 defeat at home to the Rams.
Early Lean on Giants -6.5
Even though the Redskins would appear to be in a huge revenge spot against one of their division rivals, this team can’t be trusted to show up down the stretch. Washington comes in having lost 5 straight and I have a feeling that the majority of the players have called it quits on this season. I also think the Redskins are going to be more motivated to play spoiler at home in their final two games against the Eagles and Cowboys than worry about losing a fourth straight meeting against the Giants.
While Washington is clearly headed in the wrong direction, the Giants have shown no signs of giving up on their season, despite their 4-9 record. That shouldn’t come as a big surprise with Tom Coughlin at coach and a veteran signal caller in Eli Manning. Keep in mind that New York closed out last year 7-3 after a dismal 0-6 start.
Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points who are coming off a loss of 10 or more points against an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last game are 15-42 (26%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.
Not only are the Redskins lacking motivation, but they have been decimated by injuries. I have a difficult time seeing players being committed to returning and playing through pain with where this team sits in the standings. It’s also worth noting that RGIII may be making his return to the lineup after Colt McCoy suffered a neck injury last week. I believe RGIII has worn out his welcome in Washington with both his teammates and coaches and that’s not a good sign for this team to bounce back and play at the level needed to keep this game competitive.
Washington is just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games overall, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record, and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 revenging a home loss by 21 or more points. New York is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in the month of December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
Adding to all of this is a strong system in play telling us to fade the Redskins. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points who are coming off a loss of 10 or more points against an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last game are 15-42 (26%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.
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