Redskins Giants Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd
This Sunday the New York Giants (6-9) will host the Washington Redskins (3-12) in a meaningless NFC East showdown in Week 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX. The Giants knocked off the Redskins 24-17 in Washington back in Week 13 and will look to sweep the season series for the second time in the last three years. Oddsmakers currently have New York listed as a 3.5-point home favorite with the total set at 45.5 points.
Why Washington Will Cover:
The Redskins come in off a painful 23-24 home loss to the Cowboys. Washington took a 23-14 lead early in the 4th quarter, but a couple of huge 4th down conversions by Dallas spoiled a huge upset. The Redskins have now lost a seven straight games since they knocked off the Chargers 30-24 in overtime back in Week 9. As bad as things appear to be in Washington, I have a hard time believing they won’t lay it all on the line in against the Giants. Not only do they want revenge the earlier loss to New York, but they also likely want to avoid ending the season with eight consecutive losses.
Couple key systems favoring the Redskins to cover. First, road underdogs who have lost 7 or more straight games are 47-17 (73.4%) ATS in the second half of the season since 1983. At the same time, road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points who have been outscored on average by 7 or more points/game are 52-23 (69.3%) ATS after a loss by 3 points or less since 1983. Washington adds to this with a 20-8 ATS record over their last 28 road games when they come in having lost at least 6 of their last 8 games and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less.
Road underdogs who have lost 7 or more straight games are 47-17 (73.4%) ATS in the second half of the season since 1983.
While the Giants were able to go on the road and knock off the Lions 23-20 in overtime this past weekend, I wouldn’t be surprised if New York didn’t struggle to show up for this game. Unlike last week where the Giants knew a victory would spoil Detroit’s playoff hopes, they have nothing to gain by beating the Redskins without RGIII.
Why New York Will Cover:
The fact that the Giants have a chance to finish the season with a 7-9 record after starting the season 0-6 is pretty impressive. New York could have easily thrown in the towel on the season after getting shutout at home by the Seahawks in Week 15, but they came right back and played one of their best games of the season. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if New York carried over that momentum into their division showdown with Washington.
This isn’t exactly a great spot for the Redskins. Washington treated their game against the Cowboys like it was their Super Bowl and it’s not easy to come back and play up to your full potential on the road in a meaningless game. The effort on the defensive side of the ball will almost certainly not be there like it was against Dallas. For a defense that isn’t all that great to start with, things could get out of hand in a hurry for the Redskins. If it turns into an offensive shootout, hard to not like your chances with the Giants. New York is a solid 32-17 ATS in their last 49 games vs excellent offensive teams who are averaging 375 or more total yards/game.
New York is a solid 32-17 ATS in their last 49 games vs excellent offensive teams who are averaging 375 or more total yards/game.
Another thing to keep in mind is that the Redskins offense has not been playing as well as you might think. While they have scored 49 points in their last two games combined, it came against two of the worst defenses in the league in Atlanta and Dallas. Prior to that two games, they had scored 17 or fewer points in four straight games. With an offense that isn’t clicking and the Giants defense playing well in the second half, hard to not like your chances with New York laying less than a touchdown at home.
Early Lean – Giants -3.5