Redskins Seahawks Odds
The Washington Redskins (10-6) host the Seattle Seahawks (11-5) at 4:30 PM ET in the second of Sunday’s two wild card contests. FOX has the television coverage. Oddsmakers have listed the Seahawks as a three-point favorite and have set the total at 45.5.
Why Seattle Covers
There are plenty of numbers in Seattle’s favor. For starters, the Seahawks are 9-1 against the spread since the beginning of last season versus teams that have a winning record. They have won these games by an average score of 25.0 to 19.5.
Washington is one of the top offensive teams in the league, but the numbers suggest Seattle will be up for the challenge. The Seahawks, who lead the NFL in scoring defense with only 15.3 points allowed per game, are on a 6-0 against the spread run versus good offensive teams that average 24.0 points or more per contest. They have defeated these foes by an average score of 25.5 to 18.0.
Seattle is also on a 7-0 against the spread run versus good passing teams that average 7.0 yards or more per pass. It is also on a 7-0 against the spread run versus good rushing teams that average 4.5 yards or more per carry.
While Washington has performed well on offense, it has struggled defensively. The Redskins rank 28th in the league in total defense with 377.7 yards allowed per game and 22nd in scoring defense with 24.2 points allowed per contest. With this in mind, consider that the Seahawks are 6-0 against the spread in the second half of the season over the last three seasons versus poor defensive teams that give up 24.0 points or more per game. Seattle has won these games by an average score of 33.2 to 12.7.
Why Washington Covers
While the five-game winning streak Seattle carries into the playoffs is nice, it isn’t as impressive as the seven-game winning streak the Redskins bring into this contest. Making the run even more impressive is the fact that Washington covered the number in all seven games.
Seattle has not been the same team on the road. It is just 2-5 in true road games this season. Washington, meanwhile, has been solid at home. It is 5-3 at home on the season, including 4-0 straight up and against the spread in its last four home contests.
It hasn’t been wise to lay points on the road with NFL teams headed up by Pete Carroll. That’s because his teams are just 3-13 against the spread all-time in the role of road favorite. They have lost by an average score of 19.5 to 18.7 in these games.
Robert Griffin III is a handful. He has the ability to make plays both inside and outside the pocket with his arm and legs, and he doesn’t make mistakes. He has completed 65.6 percent of his passes for 3,200 yards with 20 touchdowns and only five interceptions and has rushed for 815 yards and seven more scores.
Seattle’s Russell Wilson has been impressive as well but isn’t quite as dangerous as Griffin III. Wilson has thrown more touchdown passes, but has thrown for fewer yards than Griffin III and has been intercepted five more times. Plus, he hasn’t been as much of a threat as Griffin III on the ground.
The Redskins have won each of the past two meetings in the series, including a 23-17 win on the road last season. The home team is 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings. Also, the Seahawks are 2-5-1 against the number in the last eight meetings.