Saints Giants Odds
The New York Giants (7-5) host the New Orleans Saints (5-7) Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in NFC non-division action. Oddsmakers have listed the Giants as a five-point favorite and have set the total at 53.0.
Why New York Covers
The Giants have been solid at home where they are 4-1 in their last five games. The Saints, on the other hand, have struggled on the road where they are just 2-4 this season.
The Giants enter off a straight up and against the spread loss on the road to the Washington Redskins, but they are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games following a straight up loss and 5-2 against the number in their last seven games following an against the spread defeat.
New Orleans is one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL. This is the biggest reason why it has struggled away from home. The Saints rank dead last in the league in total defense with 440.5 yards allowed per game and 28th in scoring defense with 27.2 points allowed per contest. The Giants have an offense capable of taking advantage.
New York ranks 10th in the NFL in total offense with 371.2 yards per game and sixth in scoring with 26.8 points per game.
This is a series that has been dominated by the home team. The home side has won seven of the past eight meetings both straight up and against the spread. These seven wins have come by an average of 20.1 points and each of them came by at least five points. It is also worth noting that the Saints are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road meetings in the series.
Why New Orleans Covers
The numbers suggest the Giants, who give up 366.9 yards per game, are not good enough defensively to stop the Saints, who rank sixth in the NFL in total offense with 386.4 yards per game. Consider that New Orleans is 10-2 against the spread the last two seasons versus teams that give up 350.0 yards or more per game. The Saints are a perfect 7-0 against the spread during this span versus such teams in the second half of the season. They have won these seven by an average score of 38.9 to 21.4.
It is also significant that the Giants give up 245.2 yards per game through the air. Consider that the Saints are 10-1 against the spread over the last two seasons versus teams that allow 235.0 passing yards or more per game. They are an unbeaten 6-0 against the spread against such teams during this span in the second half of the season. They have won these six by an average score of 40.8 to 21.5.
New Orleans has had New York’s number recently. The Saints have won each of the last three meetings, including a 49-24 victory in last season’s matchup. They racked up 577 yards of offense in that game while outgaining the Giants by 112 yards. Each of these three wins have come by at least 21 points, and the Saints have covered the number in each.
New Orleans won 30-7 Dec. 24, 2006 the last time it visited the Giants.