Rams Seahawks Odds
Posted by Jimmy Boyd
This Sunday the Seattle Seahawks (12-3) will host the St. Louis Rams (7-8). Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 EST at CenturyLink Field and will be televised locally on FOX. The Seahawks won 14-9 at St Louis back in Week 8 on Monday Night Football, but came nowhere close to covering the near two touchdown spread. Oddsmakers currently have Seattle listed as a 10-point home favorite with the total set at 43 points.
Why St Louis Will Cover:
The Rams come into their showdown with the Seahawks off a 23-13 home win over the Buccaneers, which followed a shocking 27-16 victory over the Saints in Week 15. St Louis has won four of their last six overall. Based off how well they played in the first matchup against Seattle and the Seahawks shocking loss at home to the Cardinals last week, there’s certainly reason to believe St Louis can cover the double-digit spread listed for this game. Each of the last three meetings in this series have been decided by a touchdown or less.
The Rams have a pretty strong history of exceeding expectations against the elite teams in the league. St Louis is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs a top level team that comes in having won more than 75% of their games. What’s really impressive is that the Rams aren’t simply keeping these games close. They are winning in this spot by a an average score of 21.8 to 13.0. Adding to this is the fact that St Louis is a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games played in the second half of the season vs good offensive teams – averaging >=5.65 yards/play.
St Louis is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs a top level team that comes in having won more than 75% of their games. What’s really impressive is that the Rams aren’t simply keeping these games close. They are winning in this spot by a an average score of 21.8 to 13.0.
The Rams aren’t going to be intimidated by Seattle at all. While they lost the first meeting, they had a 339 to 135 edge in total yards and a 23 to 7 advantage in first downs. It was a very similar performance to that Arizona this past weekend. They put a lot of pressure on Wilson and most importantly kept Marshawn Lynch in check. When the Seahawks can’t run the football, they are a very mediocre offense.
Why Seattle Will Cover:
While the Seahawks would have liked to take care of business last week against the Cardinals, their primary goal is still right in front of them. With a win over the Rams, Seattle will lock up the NFC West and the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC, ensuring a first round bye and home-field up to the Super Bowl.
You have to wonder if Seattle didn’t give the Cardinals enough respect coming into that game. The way they dominated the first matchup and their success at home might have got to their heads. As a result, it could have the Seahawks showing some big time value against the Rams. It’s not very often you see Seattle listed as a small favorite at home than on the road. St Louis has played well in their last two games, but they have really struggled on the road. Each of their last three games away from home have resulted in double-digit defeats. The Rams are also a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 division games.
You have to wonder if the Rams will be able to generate enough offense to keep this game competitive, especially with a pissed off an extremely motivated Seattle defense taking the field on Sunday. There’s a strong system favoring the Seahawks. Good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) after 8+ games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are an impressive 23-5 (82.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons.
Good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) after 8+ games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are an impressive 23-5 (82.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons.
One of the things that really hurt the Seahawks in their loss to the Cardinals was the poor play quarterback Russell Wilson. He completed just 11 of 27 attempts for 108 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. It was one of his worst performances of his career. Great players always seem to respond after a horrible game like. The same thing could be said for the entire team. Rarely will you see an elite team like Seattle play that poorly in consecutive games.
Early Lean – Seahawks -10