This Sunday the St Louis Rams will host the Seattle Seahawks in an early NFC West showdown. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 EST at the Edward Jones Dome and will be televised locally on FOX. Our Week 1 NFL spreads show the Seahawks listed as a 4-point road favorite with the total set at 41-points.
These two teams split their season series a year ago with both teams holding serve at home. The Rams won 28-26 at home in Week 7 and Seattle answered with a 20-6 victory at home in Week 17. Despite that early win over the Seahawks, St. Louis ended up finishing the year with a disappointing 6-10 record, while Seattle won defended their NFC West title with a 12-4 record and came up painfully short of defending their Super Bowl title with a 24-28 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots.
Early Lean on Rams +4
Seattle has quickly become one of the most popular public bet teams and this line looks like bait if you ask me. Most just assume the Seahawks are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after the way they lost the Super Bowl to the Patriots, but this is not the same caliber a team on the road as they are at home. I think this game means a lot more to the Rams, who are trying to make a statement that they are a legit threat in the NFC West.
I actually have some concerns with the Seahawks mental focus coming into this season. So many of their star players have received lucrative contracts in the offseason and it doesn’t seem to be sitting well with those who didn’t get paid. Most notably star safety Kam Chancelor, who is holding out because he wants one of those new big contracts. I think this is a big chemistry issue that is getting overlooked with this team.
I believe that with Seattle not 100% invested early in the season and this game being played in St Louis, Foles and the offense are going to be able to do just enough to cover and potentially win this game outright.
So much is made about the defense in Seattle, a lot of people forget just how much talent the Rams have on that side of the ball, especially up front on the defensive line. So much of what the Seahawks like to do offensively is predicated around their ability to get the running game going with Marshawn Lynch, which is important to note. Lynch had just 113 yards combined in the 2 games against St Louis last season (only 53 on 18 attempts in their loss at St Louis).
You can’t overlook the fact that the Rams beat the Seahawks at home last year with Austin Davis as their starting quarterback, as starter Sam Bradford never played a snap because of injury. Keep in mind that with a healthy Bradford at quarterback, St Louis was a trendy pick to take that next step in 2015. The fact that they won 6 games with Davis and Shaun Hill, speaks volumes of the talent they have throughout their roster.
While I’m not sold on Nick Foles being the long-term solution at quarterback, he’s definitely an upgrade over what the Rams had to work with in 2015. I believe that with Seattle not 100% invested early in the season and this game being played in St Louis, Foles and the offense are going to be able to do just enough to cover and potentially win this game outright.
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