It’s hard to believe that the 2014 season is almost over, as we get ready for Super Bowl XLIX between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks. Kickoff for the big game is scheduled for Sunday, February 1 at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
Depending on which book you go through, the line for the Super Bowl can vary anywhere from a pick’em to the Patriots listed as a 2-point favorite. As for the total, it’s listed somewhere between 47.5 to 48.5 points. Regardless of which side of the spread or total you bet, it’s a good idea to shop around for the best line. For the purpose of this article I’m going to use the
Early Free Super Bowl Prediction: Patriots Pick’em
Before I get into my thoughts on why New England will cover, it’s worth mentioning that if this game were to end up as a pick’em, it would be the smallest spread in Super Bowl history. The previous was back in 1970 when Dallas was a 1-point favorite over Baltimore.
While I’m still up in the air on who I’m going to go with, my early lean is on the Patriots. While New England has faltered in each of their last two Super Bowl trips, both against the New York Giants, they lost each of those in the final seconds. Bill Belichick and Tom Brady could very easily be 5-0 instead of 3-2. Not only am I playing the due factor here, but I would give the slight edge here to the Patriots from an overall talent perspective.
One of the big reasons why I’m leaning towards New England, is I believe the public is going to be all over the Seahawks. There’s no question that the public was on Peyton Manning and the Broncos in last year’s Super Bowl and it’s going to be hard form to go against the Seahawks after how dominant they were in rout to a 43-8 win.
There’s no question that the public was on Peyton Manning and the Broncos in last year’s Super Bowl and it’s going to be hard form to go against the Seahawks after how dominant they were in rout to a 43-8 win.
While I would give Seattle a slight edge defensively, the gap between these two stop units is no where close to what it was a year ago when they went up against the Broncos. New England finished 8th in the league in scoring defense, allowing just 19.6 ppg. This is also a good matchup for the Patriots defense, as their strength is stopping the run.
As far as the two offenses are concerned, I don’t think there’s any question that the Patriots have the edge. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense managed just 306 total yards against Seattle in the NFC Championship Game, but most importantly had to settle for 5 field goals, which was the difference in them winning and losing that game. I look for New England to be well prepare for the Seahawks redzone defense.
Lastly, I give the Patriots a slim edge in coaching with Belichick over Pete Carroll. Belichick is going to have his defense well prepared for a one-dimensional Seattle offense and when it’s all said and done I don’t think the Seahawks will be able to score enough to defend their title.
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