Tennessee Football Predictions

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It was a disappointing end to the season in 2012 when the Volunteers finished 6th in the SEC East.  They had a 1-7 conference record and missed being bowl eligible by one game, going 5-7 overall.  Tennessee has not been to a bowl game since the 2010 Music City Bowl and returning to the postseason has to be at the top of their list for goals this season.

Only Kentucky and Auburn finished with worse records in the conference, and being associated with those cellar dwellers is something the Volunteers would like to quickly reverse.  This is exactly why they brought in a new head coach.  Butch Jones will have his work cut out for him, but he does return 15 starters from last season’s team.

Jones should make a concentrated effort on defense and that will be important because of the players lost on the offensive side of the ball.  Rajion Neal will return for his senior season as the Volunteers featured running back, however, they will have a fresh face at the quarterback position with Justin Worley.

Last Season
SEC (East)
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
6th
5-7
4-8
9-2
36.2
35.7
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
15
5
8
2.45
21st
21st
Head Coach Butch Jones
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
 52-27
 42-31-4
25-7 
19-11 
 20-16
17-16-3 
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
 3-2
 3-1-1
 7-1
5-3 
 15-9
13-8-2 
2013 Schedule
2013 Tennessee Volunteers Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/31 Austin Peay -18 1
9/7 Western Kentucky -5 .67
9/14 @ Oregon +25 0
9/21 @ Florida +12 .19
9/28 South Alabama  -14 1
10/5 Georgia +11 .21
10/19 South Carolina +9 .26
10/26 @ Alabama +27 0
11/2 @ Missouri +1 .49
11/9 Auburn -8 .77
11/23 Vanderbilt -1 .51
11/30 @ Kentucky -7.5 .76
Estimated Wins: 5.86

With a weak non-conference schedule, excluding the game against Oregon, the Volunteers have every reason to believe they will improve on last season’s results.  They should have no problem picking up wins against Austin Peay and Western Kentucky for a 2-0 start.

More wins for Tennessee should come against South Alabama, Auburn and Kentucky.  They are a small favorite against Vanderbilt, but this team simply does not have the talent to run the table in all six of the previously mentioned games.    The remainder of the schedule looks like it could be a mess for the Volunteers.

Tennessee will face Oregon, Florida and Alabama on the road.  They are double-digit underdogs in each of those games according to preseason odds.  Their home games against conference contenders are versus Georgia and South Carolina in back-to-back weeks.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
SEC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
6
 25 to 1
250 to 1 
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

I don’t think Tennessee will be able to pick up the six wins they need to become bowl eligible.  There are too many questions on the offensive side of the ball, especially with quarterback Justin Worley.  While the defense may have returned eight of their starters from last season, they are still the same players that allowed 35.7 points per game a year ago.

Four of the offensive starters returning this season come on the offensive line.  That should help an already impressive run game stay relevant.  On the defensive side of the ball they have A.J. Johnson and Curt Maggitt making their return.  If the defensive line can do a better job of getting pressure on the quarterback, the Volunteers have the experience to keep a lot of their games close.

The defense last season was the worst it has been in school history.  They lacked both talent and speed in the secondary.  The Volunteers lost their top receivers and tight end on offense, so keeping pace with the amount of points the defense allows could be a major issue if they have not improved from last year.

2013 Projections
SEC (East)
SEC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
5th
1-7
5-7
UNDER 6
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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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