Titans Jaguars Odds
Posted by Steve Janus - Google+
The Jags are coming off a loss to the Patriots but it was a close one. They definitely made a game out of it as they were leading or tied for most of the game. They ended up losing 23-16 which is a success for one of the worst teams in the NFL. Chad Henne completed 29 of 51 pass attempts for 348 yards with 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions. Montel Owens was the leading rusher with 10 carries for 42 yards and also had 4 catches for 77 yards. Justin Blackmon lead the team with 12 targets catching 7 of them for 79 yards and a touchdown. Jordan Shipley had a team-high 82 receiving yards on 5 catches. Cecil Shorts III had 11 targets for 6 catches and 54 yards before getting another concussion. Jacksonville actually out-gained the Patriots 436 to 349 and had 4 more plays.
The Titans are coming off a huge blowout loss to the Packers as Aaron Rodgers had a field day. The Titans had just 10 first downs, 180 total yards and turned the ball over 2 times. The Packers also got to and sacked Jake Locker 7 times. Locker completed 13 of 30 attempts for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Locker also lead the team in rushing with 4 carries for 32 yards. Chris Johnson had 11 carries for just 28 yards. Kenny Britt was the yardage leader with 41 yards on 2 catches.
Right now the spread is Tennessee -4 with the total set at 42.
Why Jacksonville Will Cover:
Chad Henne will be the reason the Jags cover if not win this game. He has had a lot of success since being put in the starter spot due to the Gabbert injury. Henne was also the reason that 1st round selection Justin Blackmon has looked closer to the Oklahoma State Cowboy that we thought we would see. Not completely sure on who will be the starter in the backfield but leaning toward Montel Owens as it would be smart for the Jags to just let Jones-Drew rest till training camp.
Big play wide out Cecil Short III has been placed on the IR due to his second concussion in 3 weeks. Without him Blackmon and Shipley will be the top targets with Mercedes Lewis getting some extra looks. Their only averaging 294.7 yards/game and 15.7 points/game. They allow 391.1 yards/game and 27.1 points/game. When playing on the road they average 20.1 points/game and 319.7 yards/game which actually makes them a better road team. They give up 400.1 yards/game and allowing 27.7 points/game on the road.
Trends: The Jags are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. the AFC South. Their also 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Jags are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Why Tennessee Will Cover:
The Titans have been one of the worst teams in the NFL. Chris Johnson should be able to break away a couple times and make the Jags pay for their bad run defense. So far this season CJ2K has ran the ball 255 times for 1187 yards and 5 touchdowns. The big thing that could hurt this team in this game is the bad defense they have.
The Titans defense ranks 26th in the NFL allowing 247.4 yards/game through the air and they rank 23rd against the run allowing 127.5 yards/game. Tennessee is going to need a much better effort out of their stop unit if they are going to keep this game competitive. The Jaguars have been playing much better offensively and will be looking to end the season strong.
On the offensive side of the ball they rank 21st through the air averaging 212.1 yards/game and also rank 21st on the ground averaging 107.2 yards/game. The Titans are averaging 19.5 points/game this season while allowing 30.1 points/game. When playing at home their averaging 20 points/game while allowing 28.9 points/game.
For this team to cover Chris Johnson will have to have a great day and the defense will need to stop Henne and the passing offense of the Jags.
Trends: The Titans are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the AFC. Their also 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. the AFC South.
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