West Virginia Football Predictions

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It was a bad season for Mountaineers fans in 2012.  West Virginia finished with a 4-5 conference record and in eight place.  They have been trending in the wrong direction since the departure of Bill Stewart at the head coach position.

The Achilles heel for the Mountaineers last season was their defense.  They allowed an average of 38.1 points per game and only managed those four wins because of an offense stacked with talent.  With just four offensive starters returning for the upcoming 2013 season, many people have low expectations for West Virginia.

The Mountaineers run an air-attack offense.  They have quality running backs but refuse to keep the ball on the ground.  With a new quarterback running the offense, this could turn into a very ugly season for West Virginia.

Last Season
Big 12
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
8th
7-6
5-8
5-6
39.5
38.1
Key Numbers for 2013
Returning Starters
Returning to Offense
Returning to Defense
4 Year Recruiting Rank
Strength of Schedule
11
4
7
2.175
25th
52nd
Head Coach Dana Holgorsen
Overall
ATS
Home
Home ATS
Road
Road ATS
19-9
12-13
9-5
5-8
5-3
5-3
Bowl Games
Bowl Games ATS
Off of a Bye
Off of a Bye ATS
Off of a Loss
Off of a Loss ATS
1-1
1-1
2-2
0-4
4-4
5-3
2013 Schedule
2013 West Virginia Mountaineers Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
9/7 William & Mary
-21
1
9/14 @ Oklahoma
+16
0
9/21 Georgia State
-10
.81
10/5 @ Maryland
-2
.56
10/12 Oklahoma State
+11
.21
10/19 @ Baylor
+7
.31
10/26 Texas Tech
-6
.70
11/2 @ Kansas State
+9
.26
11/9 @ TCU
+10
.24
11/16 Texas
+12
.19
11/23 @ Kansas
-3
.60
11/30 Iowa State
-7.5
.76
Estimated Wins: 5.64

The strength of schedule for West Virginia is a bit distorted due to a weak non-conference schedule and some favorable home games against equally talentless opponents.  The Mountaineers open the season with an easy game against William and Mary, followed by what should be a blowout loss against Oklahoma.

Two more non-conference games follow the matchup against Oklahoma as the Mountaineers face Georgia State and Maryland.  Maryland may be a bit of a struggle for West Virginia considering the off season improvements the Terrapins have made.   In week five the Mountaineers will start the heart of their conference schedule.

Games against Oklahoma State and Baylor will be hard for the Mountaineers to win considering how bad their defense is.  They have every chance to beat Texas Tech on their home field and should be sitting on a 3-4 record at this point in the season.  In week eight, West Virginia will play on the road against Kansas State, followed by another road game against TCU.

When the Mountaineers return home for their week ten matchup against Texas, I expect to see them throwing in the towel on their season.  Texas should be another blowout loss before West Virginia travels once again to the state of Kansas to face the Jayhawks.  Losing the game against Kansas will be the reason for the Mountaineers finishing last in the Big 12.

Odds
Regular Season Win Total
Big 12 Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
5.5
20 to 1
300 to 1
Odds Courtesty of Bovada
Season Predictions

A lack of experience on offense means the Mountaineers will not be scoring an average of 39+ points per game to match last season.  They still lack a lot of talent and depth on the defensive side of the ball, so they could be in store for some big blowouts.  The best players on this team have all returned for the defense, but they are the same players from one of the worst defensive teams in college football last year.

Even with the new travel concessions in place, West Virginia will spend a lot of time traveling to games.  They have to fly a total of 4,838 miles for their Big 12 games and they do not have back-to-back home games the entire season.  All that traveling would take its toll on any team, but that is the chance the Mountaineers took when joining a Big 12 conference that does not have a single team in their area.

The biggest problem for West Virginia this season is going to be the inexperience of the offensive line.  For the Mountaineers to be successful, they will need to give Paul Millard time to find the open receivers.  Only one player is returning to the offensive line from last season and that is junior left tackle Quinton Spain.

2013 Projections
Big 12
Big 12 Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
10th
1-8
4-9
UNDER 5.5
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About the Author: Jimmy Boyd is known for his consistency. He's a proven winner in college and pro football, college and pro basketball and pro baseball. He finished as the No. 1 ranked MLB handicapper in 2007 by earning $1,000/game bettors $50,050. He also finished as the No. 1 ranked basketball handicapper in the 2008-09 season, profiting $1,000/game bettors 38,530. His basketball plays have banked $1,000/game bettors nearly $80,000 the last five years. Check out Jimmy's premium picks for tonight!
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