The New Mexico State Aggies (0-1) travel to Tuscaloosa this weekend for a tough road matchup with the Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0). Kickoff is set for 4:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 7th at Bryant-Denny Stadium and the game will be televised on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 2 college football odds, Alabama opened as a massive 54-point home favorite earlier this week. That line hasn’t budged at all after early betting, as the Crimson Tide are currently listed at -54. The total for the game is sitting at 65 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Alabama vs New Mexico State
New Mexico had a rough start to their season in Week 1, getting crushed on the road by Washington State. The Aggies scored a touchdown in the first quarter but it was all downhill after that, as the Cougars ran up the score with a 58 point offensive outburst en route to a lopsided 58-7 victory. New Mexico QB Josh Adkins didn’t have a great game, going just 28/42 for 221 yards and no touchdowns through the air. Adkins was also picked off several times but did manage to score one rushing touchdown early on. RB Jason Huntley actually had a pretty decent showing on the ground, averaging 6.3 yards per carry against a strong Washington State defense. OJ Clark and Robert Downs III both contributed as well, combining for 14 receptions. It will most likely be another long afternoon for the New Mexico offense on Saturday, as the Crimson Tide are definitely another defensive powerhouse.
The Aggies defense clearly had some major issues against the Cougars, surrendering over 600 total yards of offense and seven touchdowns. New Mexico State was particularly bad against the pass, as WSU quarterback Anthony Gordon exploded for 29/35 for 420 yards and five touchdowns.
Alabama looked fantastic in their Week 1 victory over Duke, winning 42-3 at home to move to 1-0 on the season. The Crimson Tide were dominant on both sides of the ball, especially in the second half where they scored 28 unanswered points. QB Tua Tagovailoa was up to his usual tricks, going 26/31 for 336 yards and four touchdowns through the air. RB Jerome Ford led the way on the ground for a new look Crimson Tide rushing attack, averaging 6.4 yards per carry and finding the end zone once. WR Jerry Jeudy also had a big game, hauling in ten passes for 137 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Alabama racked up over 500 yards of total offense and scored six touchdowns.
The Crimson Tide defense was also outstanding in Week 1, holding the Blue Devils to just a field goal. Alabama also did a superb job defending against the pass, holding Duke QB Quentin Harris to just 97 yards through the air and picking him off twice.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: New Mexico State +54
As I mentioned in Week 1 when I took Alabama against the spread against Duke, I usually love to side with the Crimson Tide at the beginning of the year despite having to lay huge points. Last year they were 7-3 ATS well into November before the market finally adjusted to their dominance and they cooled off down the stretch, finishing an unremarkable 8-7 ATS. I had planned to take advantage of that again this year, but I just don’t know if I can lay almost eight touchdowns in this particular matchup. My biggest concern is how unhappy Nick Saban was with the running game, which surely will be a focus for the Crimson Tide offense here in Week 2. Although I’m sure they will still score a ton of points, I think that the additional focus on establishing the run may take extra time off the clock and lead to one or two fewer possessions.
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While I certainly am not overly confident with New Mexico State at all – especially after they just got blown out by 50+ against Washington State – I think that the final score of this game should be around 55-3 or 52-0, which would both just be good enough for an Aggies cover. I’m probably just going to avoid this matchup entirely, but I think that covering an almost eight touchdown spread might be too much of a chore for an Alabama offense that wants to focus primarily on the run. I’ll take New Mexico State to cover in what should be another blowout win for the Crimson Tide.