The Arizona State Sun Devils (6-4) travel to Eugene this weekend for a Pac-12 battle against the Oregon Ducks (6-4). Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM EST at Autzen Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the Pac-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 12 college football odds, Oregon opened as a 4-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has remained the same after early betting, as the Ducks are currently listed at -4 The total for the game is sitting at 61 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oregon vs Arizona State
Arizona State won their third straight game last weekend, sneaking by UCLA 31-28 to improve to 6-4 on the season overall. The Sun Devils managed to come back from an early first quarter deficit to take a 17-14 lead at halftime in a matchup that stayed close throughout. QB Manny Wilkins certainly wasn’t at his best but wasn’t bad either, throwing for 199 yards and a touchdown in the victory. He did also score a key 1-yard rushing touchdown to put Arizona State ahead 31-21 late in the 4th quarter. Wilkins has now passed 2,449 yards and 16 touchdowns in ten games. RB Eno Benjamin had another strong game on the ground, rushing for 182 yards and a touchdown against the Bruins. Overall, the offense is currently averaging 29.9 points per game on 439.9 total yards. They have really done a good job running the football, averaging a solid 195.0 rushing yards per game (46th overall).
The Sun Devils have played pretty well on the other side of the ball, allowing opponents to score an average of 23.0 points per game on 385.2 yards of total offense. They have been somewhat average against both the run and the pass, ranking 56th and 69th respectively.
Oregon dropped to 6-4 on the year last weekend, losing a tough 32-25 decision to Pac-12 rival Utah in Week 11. The Ducks put in a solid effort against the #19 overall Utes, as they trailed just 22-17 heading into the 4th quarter. QB Justin Hebert certainly did his part on offense, passing for 288 yards and three touchdowns. Hebert has now thrown 25 touchdowns in ten games while averaging 262.1 yards per game through the air. He has had a ton of help as of late from dynamic WR Dillon Mitchell, who has racked up 325 yards and four touchdowns in his last two games. RB CJ Verdell leads the way on the ground for Oregon, rushing for 718 yards and five touchdowns. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 36.0 points per game on 439.2 total yards.
On the other side of the ball, the Ducks are currently giving up 28.0 points per game (73rd overall) on 402.6 yards of total offense. They have struggled a little bit against the pass, allowing opponents to average 250.5 yards per game through the air (95th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 61
After much debate, I’m going to stay away from a pick against the spread in this particular matchup. I think the current spread is pretty accurate and it feels like pretty much a coin flip. I suppose I’d probably take the free points with Arizona State, as there is a decent possibility of this being a “last score wins” type of game. The Sun Devils have also been on a bit of a roll as of late, upsetting USC and Utah in back to back games. In any event, the current total of 61 seems a bit low, as both offenses are currently averaging about 30.0 points per game and haven’t really been overly impressive on defense. The Ducks have given up 32+ points in three out of their last four while Arizona State gave up 35 points to USC in Week 9 and 28 points to UCLA last weekend.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
The over is 22-7-2 in the last 31 games following a straight up loss by Oregon. Similar trends can be found on the Arizona State side, as the over is 7-2 in the last nine games where the Sun Devils are a road underdog of between 3.5 and 10 points. It is also 5-2 in the last seven games at Autzen Stadium between these two Pac-12 rivals. Finally, the over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between Oregen and Arizona State overall.
There will likely be a lot of points scored between these two teams, as Justin Hebert and Dillon Mitchell have both been on fire as of late. The same can be said for Manny Wilkins and the Sun Devils offense, especially since it looks like his ankle injury is slowly becoming less and less of an issue for his mobility. I’d take Arizona State against the spread if I was forced to pick a side – but the biggest value in this particular spot is the OVER on 61.