The Washington Huskies (2-1) will look to win their third consecutive game on Saturday night when they host the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1) in Pac-12 action. Kickoff is set for 10:30 PM EST at Husky Stadium and the game will be televised nationally on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 4 college football odds, the books opened with Washington as a 17.5-point home favorite. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Huskies are currently listed at -17.5. The total for the game is sitting at 49 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Washington vs Arizona State
Arizona State lost their first game of the season last weekend, dropping a 28-21 decision against San Diego State. The Sun Devils trailed by two touchdowns in the 4th quarter but made a valiant comeback before falling just short. QB Manny Wilkins threw what looked to be a game-tying throw with less than ten seconds left before replay overturned the call. Wilkins has been fantastic through the first few weeks of the 2018-19 season, passing for 958 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has also completed over 65% of his passes and only thrown one interception. WR N’Keal Harry continues to impress on a national scale, racking up 21 receptions for 315 yards and four touchdowns in just three games.
Arizona State has also looked pretty good defensively, giving up an average of only 16.0 points per game which is tied for 27th overall nationwide. However, their run defense looked pretty shaky against SDSU last weekend, as the Aztecs had two running backs break the 100-yard rushing plateau in the same game. Both backs managed to find the end zone as well, something that has to be a bit worrying for Sun Devils fans heading into this game against RB Myles Gaskin.
Washington got their conference play schedule started off on the right foot last weekend, defeating Utah 21-7 in a hard fought road victory. Myles Gaskin found the end zone for the Huskies on their first possession and finished the game with 143 yards on 30 carries. Gaskin has led the way on the ground for a Washington rushing attack that is averaging 156.3 yards per game through their first three games. QB Jake Browning has also looked pretty good, throwing for an average of 254.7 yards per game. Browning also has 4 touchdowns on the season, although he has struggled with untimely interceptions as well.
The Huskies have been absolutely outstanding defensively, allowing opponents to score an average of just 10.3 points per game on 314.3 total yards allowed. Overall, they are just barely outside of the Top 10 nationally (11th) in scoring defense while also sitting in 30th overall in total defense (314.3 total yards allowed per game).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Washington -17.5
Despite having identical 2-1 records, I think this one might get ugly for Arizona State on Saturday night. Their 3-5-5 defensive scheme was cute for the first few weeks, but SDSU killed them on the ground in Week 3 and I’m sure the Huskies will certainly take advantage of it as well. Gaskin already has two 100+ yard rushing games this season and I think he adds another one against the Sun Devils. Yes, Manny Wilkins has been very impressive on offense – but it’s also important to remember that outside of Michigan State, he’s hardly faced a defense that is even close to as good as Washington’s is. If the Huskies pound the ball for four quarters and keep Arizona State from scoring more than 15-17 points, I think they can cover the number in this spot.
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Washington is 9-3 ATS over their past twelve games against Pac-12 opponents and 7-3 ATS over their past ten games against teams with a record above .500. They also crushed the Sun Devils 44-18 the last time ASU travelled to Seattle. Arizona State has really struggled on the road over the past few seasons, as they are 6-14 ATS over their past twenty away games. They are also just 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games on the road as an underdog.
Washington still has to be the favorite to win the Pac-12 this season despite an opening week loss to Auburn. The Huskies have an elite defense and Myles Gaskin is one of the top running backs in college football. Arizona State has had a nice start to their season under new coach Herm Edwards but I think this is the week where they start to come back to reality a bit. They couldn’t beat SDSU last weekend and I don’t see them keeping this one close for more than a quarter or two. The Sun Devils are also a much different team on the road than at home, especially against ranked opponents. Washington is currently #10 overall and has too many playmakers on offense for a letdown in this spot. I’ll take the Huskies to roll at home.