The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-7) host the #7 overall LSU Tigers (7-2) on Saturday night as two long-time SEC rivals battle it out for the Golden Boot. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium and the game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, LSU opened as a 14-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by a full point after early betting, as the Tigers are currently listed at -13. The total for the game is sitting at 47 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Arkansas vs LSU
LSU got shut out 29-0 by Alabama last weekend to fall to 7-2 on the season overall. It was a tough game for the Tigers on both sides of the ball, as they gained only 196 yards of total offense while giving up 576 yards to the Crimson Tide. QB Joe Burrow barely completed 50% of his passes and threw for just 184 yards and no touchdowns. Burrow has now passed for 1,728 yards and six touchdowns in nine starts. He has also chipped in the ground, rushing for 243 yards and four touchdowns. It was also a rough outing for the LSU ground game, as Clyde Edwards-Helaire gained only 52 total yards (14 on the ground) on eight touches. Edwards-Helaire has turned 111 carries into 535 yards and five touchdowns so far this season. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging 27.0 points per game (83rd overall) on 362.8 yards of total offense (103rd overall).
The Tigers have been outstanding defensively so far this season, as opponents have scored just 16.7 points per game (11th overall). They have really done a good job against the pass, giving up 210.3 yards per game through the air (44th overall).
Arkansas lost 45-31 against Vanderbilt their last time out to drop to 2-7 on the year. The Razorbacks failed to keep any momentum going after shutting out Tulsa 23-0 in Week 8, as the defeat was their seventh loss in eight games. QB Ty Storey hasn’t had a very good year so far, throwing for just 1,223 yards and nine touchdowns. He has also already thrown seven interceptions, which certainly doesn’t bode well for him heading into this matchup against a tough LSU defense. The running back duo of Rakeem Boyd and Devwah Whaley has combined for over 900 rushing yards and four touchdowns to lead the way on the ground for Arkansas. Overall, Arkansas is currently averaging just 26.3 points per game (90th overall) on 378.4 yards of total offense. They have really struggled to move the ball through the air so far this year, averaging only 202.4 passing yards per game (94th overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Razorbacks are currently giving up an average of 33.7 points per game (103rd overall). They have been especially bad against the pass, allowing opponents to throw for 259.3 yards per game through the air (105th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: LSU -13
I’m a bit surprised that this spread is currently less than two full touchdowns, as I think the Tigers should roll easily in this particular spot. Yes, the added element of a classic rivalry game means that LSU will likely get Arkansas at their very best. The problem for the Razorbacks so far this season has been their horrible play defensively, as they are really struggling to keep opponents off the scoreboard. LSU certainly isn’t an offensive juggernaut, however, they do still have a lot of skill up front that will pose a fairly big challenge for Arkansas here in Week 11.
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The Tigers are a very solid 4-0 ATS over their last four games following an against the spread loss. They are also 10-2 ATS over their last 12 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in the month of November. Arkansas is just 8-14-1 ATS over their last 23 games overall.
A lot of people might be jumping off the LSU bandwagon after their rough outing against Alabama last weekend, but I’m not quite ready to throw in the towel yet. The Tigers still have one of the best defenses in the country, and Arkansas is hardly a high-powered offense. I’m pretty happy to just have to lay thirteen points in a matchup that features the #7 overall team in the entire nation going up against an opponent with a 2-7 record. I’m taking LSU to cover with ease this weekend – give me the Tigers.