The Missouri Tigers (7-4) host the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9) on Friday afternoon in an SEC showdown. Kickoff is set for 2:30 PM EST at Faurot Field and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Taking a look at the Week 13 college football odds, Missouri opened as a 21-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has yet to move at all after early betting, as the Tigers are currently listed at -21. The total for the game is sitting at 62 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Missouri vs Arkansas
Arkansas dropped to 2-9 on the season last weekend after a tough 52-6 loss against Mississippi State. The Razorbacks got dominated on both sides of the ball, as they could only muster 219 yards of total offense while giving up 475 total yards to the Bulldogs. QB Ty Storey hasn’t had a great year, throwing for just 1,560 yards and 11 touchdowns. Storey has also been picked off nine times and is completing only 57.2% of his passes. RB Rakeem Boyd leads the way on the ground, racking up 729 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Arkansas is currently averaging 23.6 points per game on 348.5 yards of total offense. They have really struggled to move the ball effectively through the air, averaging just 197.5 passing yards per game (97th overall).
The Razorbacks are one of the worst defensive teams in the entire country, as opponents are averaging a troubling 34.5 points per game (106th overall). Arkansas has been especially bad against the pass, giving up 247.0 yards per game through the air (96th overall).
Missouri improved to 7-4 on the year last weekend after an impressive 50-17 victory over Tennessee. The Tigers have really caught fire as of late, winning three consecutive games after a 4-4 start to the season. QB Drew Lock has played quite well, throwing for 2,904 yards and 23 touchdowns in just 11 games. Lock has really benefited from a quality ground attack, as the dynamic duo of Larry Rountree III and Damarea Crockett Memphis have combined for 1,602 yards and 17 rushing touchdowns. He also has had a trio of quality wideouts to work with – Emanuel Hall, Johnathon Johnson, and Albert Okwuegbunam – who have combined for over 1,500 yards and 14 touchdowns. As a whole, Missouri is currently averaging 36.8 points per game on 474.4 yards of total offense.
The Tigers have been pretty mediocre defensively through their first eleven games, allowing opponents to score an average of 26.6 points per game (62nd overall). However, they have been quite solid against the rush, limiting opponents to an average of 129.4 yards per game on the ground (29th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Missouri -21
At first glance, laying three touchdowns seemed a little bit too rich for my liking – the Tigers have already locked up a spot in a bowl game and don’t have all that much to play for in this one. However, Arkansas hasn’t won a single game against an SEC opponent all season long and has been outscored by a ridiculous 110-26 margin over their last three road games. They have been horrible on defense as well, allowing Mississippi State to rush for almost 300 yards last weekend while also giving up an average of about 250 passing yards per game.
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Arkansas is just 1-4 ATS over their last five games on the road. The away team is also 0-6 ATS overall in the last six meetings between these two teams. Mizzou is a rock-solid 7-3 ATS over their last ten home games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten games against opponents with a losing record and 6-2 ATS over their last eight games in the month of November.
The Razorbacks have been a disaster on both sides of the ball, as they currently rank outside of the top 100 teams nationwide in terms of both scoring offense (105th) and scoring defense (106th overall). Missouri has actually played quite well on offense so far this season, as they currently rank 21st overall in points scored per game. While their defense has been about average, they should be able to limit a bad Arkansas attack to less than 20 points on Friday afternoon. To me, this is shaping up to be a 24-30 point home victory for the Tigers, so I’m fine laying the three touchdowns in this spot even though it initially felt a bit steep. One team is clearly vastly superior to the other in this matchup – give me Mizzou to cover.