Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

This Saturday the Arkansas Razorbacks take on the Texas A&M Aggies at AT&T Stadium (home Dallas Cowboys). Kickoff is set for 12:00 EST and will be televised on ESPN.

Oddsmakers have the Aggies listed as a 2.5-point favorite with the total set at 55.5 points. Click on the link for more Week 4 odds and links to game previews.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions

The Aggies come into this contest a win and narrow cover against Louisiana-Lafayette at home. Texas A&M defeated the Ragin’ Cajuns 45-21 as a 23-point favorite. It was a much better showing than the previous week’s 24-14 win as a 37.5-point favorite against Nicholls St.

Arkansas had last week off with a scheduled bye. The Razorbacks failed to cover in a 49-7 win as a 46.5-pt favorite in their opener and lost 7-28 to TCU at home as a 2.5-point dog.

Last year the Aggies turned an early 10-17 deficit into a comfortable 45-24 win as a 6-point favorite. That’s 3 straight wins for Texas A&M in the series.

College Free Betting Pick & ATS Predictions: Arkansas +2.5

I would have to lean towards the Razorbacks in this one. The 21-point loss at home to TCU doesn’t look great right now, but I think it will look better and better as people realize how good that Horned Frogs team is.

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One thing that loss likely did was give head coach Bret Bielema his players full attention over the two weeks they had to prepare for this game. Not that Arkansas’ players needed a reason to get up for this game, as they are playing with triple-revenge against the Aggies. For some of these players this will be their last chance to beat Texas A&M.

Several trends back up this being a good spot to take the Razorbacks. Arkansas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after scoring less than 20 points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a double-digit loss at home and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a bye week.

I’m also not sold on this Texas A&M team, as I just think that epic collapse against UCLA is something that’s really hard to get over. Part of the reason they blew that big lead against the Bruins was starting QB Nick Starkel went down with an injury. He’s still out indefinitely and I just don’t think that’s getting enough attention.

Same goes for a defense that is down two starting defensive backs, which basically leaves them with 2 of their top 8 tacklers from last season. Note that secondary couldn’t stop Lafayette’s Keenan Barnes, who had 12 receptions for 118 yards. That comes after allowing 174 receiving yards to Nicholls’ Damion Jeanpiere Jr. and three guys to top 100 yards for UCLA.

Arkansas’ Austin Allen had arguably the worst game of his career against TCU. He threw for just 138 yards on 9 of 23 passing. He’s a guy that threw for nearly 3,500 yards last year. I expect a big game out of him and the Razorbacks defense to do enough to secure the win.