The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-7) host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-4) this weekend for an inter-conference clash from Fayetteville. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on November 9th at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium and the game will be televised on the SEC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Arkansas opened as a 2.5-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread has shifted downwards by a full point after early betting, as the Razorbacks are currently available at -1.5. The total for the game is sitting at 52 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Arkansas vs WKU
Western Kentucky lost their second straight game last weekend, falling 35-24 at home against Florida Atlantic to drop to 5-4 on the season overall. The Hilltoppers jumped out to an early 14-0 lead in the first quarter but it didn’t last for long, as the Owls scored three unanswered touchdowns before the half en route to a double-digit victory. QB Ty Storey had a rough game, going 32/47 for 380 passing yards and two touchdowns but also throwing three costly interceptions as well. Gaej Walker couldn’t find a way to ever really get going on the ground, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on a team-high 14 rushing attempts. WR Lucky Jackson led the way for the receiving corps, exploding for 194 yards and a touchdown on nine catches. As a whole, Western Kentucky generated just under 450 total yards of offense and found the end zone three times in the loss.
The Hilltoppers had a bad outing on the other side of the ball against Florida Atlantic, surrendering well over 400 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. WKU gave up a pair of lengthy touchdowns through the air, as Willie Wright and Tavaris Harrison combined for 91 yards and two touchdowns on just three receptions.
Arkansas dropped their sixth consecutive game last weekend after getting crushed 54-24 at home against Mississippi State to fall to just 2-7 on the season overall. The Razorbacks gave up 38 points before the half and never recovered, allowing the Bulldogs to tack on another 16 points over the final two quarters. Ben Hicks and John Stephen Jones couldn’t get anything going through the air, combining for just 69 passing yards and a single touchdown on 22 throwing attempts. RB Rakeem Boyd picked up some of the slack, rumbling for 114 yards and a touchdown on only 11 carries. Michael Woods was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, hitting pay dirt on one of his two catches for 15 yards. Overall, Arkansas gained over 250 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns despite coming up well short on the scoreboard.
The Razorbacks were awful defensively against Mississippi State, getting torched for well over 600 total yards of offense and six touchdowns. Arkansas had no answer for the Bulldogs RB Kylin Hill on the ground, as he racked up 234 rushing yards and three touchdowns on a game-high 21 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: WKU +1.5
This is actually a pretty tough spot, as Arkansas has really performed poorly so far this season but is also in a much tougher conference. However, I think that Western Kentucky could easily win this game outright despite having to play on the road here in Week 11. While I would have much preferred to grab the Hilltoppers when they originally opened at +2.5, I still think they do offer some slight value at +1.5. Western Kentucky has also fared really well against the spread so far this year, covering the number in six out of their last nine meetings overall.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
The Razorbacks have been brutal against the spread through their first nine games, going a dreadful 2-7 ATS overall. They also have really struggled at home this year, as they have only covered the spread once over their last four games at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. On the other side, WKU is a perfect 3-0 against the spread over their last three road games as well. I’m going to take a shot with the slight road underdogs in a game they could find a way to win straight up. I’ll take the 1.5 points and roll with Western Kentucky to grind out a tough cover on Saturday afternoon – give me the Hilltoppers!