This Saturday the Army Black Knights (9-2) will host the Navy Midshipmen (3-8) in one of college football’s greatest traditions. Each year the “Army-Navy Game” is the last regular-season game played. Kickoff is set for 3:00 EST at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. The game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.
Oddsmakers currently have the Black Knights listed as a 7-point favorite with the total set for 40 points. For those getting ready for bowl season, click here for a full bowl betting schedule with odds, start times, TV listings and more.
Army vs Navy Game Preview & Betting Odds
Navy will be putting the finishing touches on a season to forget. The Midshipmen are guaranteed a losing season for the first time since 2002. A team that was expected to compete for a conference championship, finished just 2-6 in the AAC. When we last saw them back on Nov. 24th they were adding to their misery with a heartbreaking 29-28 loss at Tulane, where they rallied from a 21-3 deficit to take a 28-21 lead, only to give up a TD and 2-point conversion in the final minutes.
Army hasn’t played since they beat Colgate at home 28-14 back on Nov. 17th. After playing this game, they will get a couple weeks off to prepare for another matchup against a AAC team, as they will face off against Houston in the Armed Forces Bowl (Dec. 22nd). Army needs one more win to reach double-digits for the second straight year, which is quite the feat given the previous time before last year was 1996.
It wasn’t that long ago that Navy dominated this matchup. The Midshipmen won every single meeting from 2002 to 2015. Army snapped the losing streak in 2016 with a 21-17 win as a 4-point dog. They followed it up with a thrilling 14-13 win as a 3-point dog last year.
Free College Football Against the Spread Pick: Navy +7
My early lean here would be to grab the points with the Midshipmen. I just think this is too many points to pass up in a game that figures to be low scoring. I know the records are miles apart, but I don’t think there’s as big a gap in talent as a lot of people think.
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I think a lot of people are going to fall into the trap of overreacting to the fact that Army’s only two losses were true road games against Duke and Oklahoma (lost in OT 28-21). The rest of their resume isn’t anything to get excited about and they easily could have lost a few more than they did.
Navy played the much tougher schedule and I think the Midshipmen showed some positives down the stretch. They went on the road and gave UCF a scare, losing by a final score of 35-24. They then knocked off Tulsa at home and nearly had that epic comeback last time out at Tulane.
I also think the roles are reversed here. Army has been the big underdog in this series for nearly two decades and now they are favored for the first since 2001. Underdog has covered the spread in this game 6 of the last 7 years and I don’t think it’s out of the question that we get our third straight underdog to win the game outright.
A lot of people are going to point to Navy’s defense as the big weakness that will allow the Black Knights to get the win and cover, but Army is a mere 11-25 ATS in there last 36 games vs teams who allow 34 or more points/game. Black Knights are also just 3-9 ATS last 12 vs a team with a losing record. Midshipmen are an impressive 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Give me Navy +7!