The Army Black Knights (2-1) host the #5 ranked Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) this weekend in a matchup between two teams coming off of big Week 3 wins. Kickoff is set for 5:00 PM PM EST at Michie Stadium and the game will be available on pay-per-view.
Taking a look at the Week 4 college football odds, Oklahoma opened as a 32-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted slightly over the last few days, as the Sooners are currently listed at -31.5. The total for the game is sitting at 63 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Oklahoma vs Army
Oklahoma played in their first Big 12 conference game of the season last weekend, defeating Iowa State 37-27 but failing to cover the 18.5 point spread. QB Kyler Murray looked red-hot yet again, as the Junior QB threw for 348 yards and three touchdowns. Murray has picked up right where #1 NFL draft pick Baker Mayfield left off, racking up 863 passing yards and an 8:1 TD to INT ratio in his first three games of the season. He should be able to have another impressive performance on Saturday, as Army is currently giving up an average of 275.0 yards through the air per game (106th overall). As a whole, Oklahoma is averaging a 50.0 points per game so far this season (10th overall) – all signs definitely point to another big number on the board for the Sooners in this one.
On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma has been allowing opponents to score an average of 20.7 points per game – 46th overall. However, the Sooners have been absolutely atrocious against the pass, especially last week against Iowa State. The Cyclones gained 360 yards through the air, which moved Oklahoma back to 103rd overall against the pass (268.7 ypg).
Army will look to pull off a third consecutive win on Saturday after beating Hawaii 28-21 at home last Saturday. QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr. was a dual threat on offense for the Black Nights all game long, passing for 162 yards while also amassing over 100 yards on the ground. Hopkins Jr. might have to throw the ball a bit more against the Sooners if Army hopes to have any success offensively, as their secondary has been their only real weak spot during the 3-0 start. However, the Black Knights still don’t have a receiver who has accumulated 100 receiving yards on the season – which certainly doesn’t bode well.
Although Army is currently ranked in the middle of the pack in terms of scoring defense – 23 points per game, 58th overall – they have yet to face a team that is as potent offensively as Oklahoma. Like the Sooners, the Black Knights have also struggled against the pass, allowing an average of 275.0 yards through the air per game.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Army +31.5
I don’t expect this game to be close at all, especially since Oklahoma has been so good against the run. Yes, Army has a one dimensional, run-focused offense – but they have demonstrated that they can move the ball through the air a little bit too. The Black Knights should be able to put at least a couple of touchdowns on the board, especially since Oklahoma has looked so sub-par against the pass. If this spread was less than 30 points, I’d likely learn more towards the Sooners in this spot. However, 4+ touchdowns seems a little steep to me.
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Both of these teams have performed quite will against the spread lately. Oklahoma is 12-2 ATS over their last fourteen games against teams with a winning record and 12-3 ATS in their past fifteen home games. The sooners are also 4-1 ATS over their past five games at home against winning teams. However, Army is an impressive 4-1 ATS over their last five meetings with Big 12 opponents. They are also 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their past five games overall.
The other important thing to keep in mind is that Army’s offensive style eats up a ton of time. Oklahoma’s star offensive players will likely see much less time on the field due to the Black Knight’s insistence on running the ball (and the clock). While I don’t expect this game to be close at halftime, I’m just not sure if the Sooners will get enough possessions in the second half to win by 30+ points. I’m taking the free points and rolling with Army.