Art Aronson Handicapper at AAA Sports

This is an 8* MEMBER ONLY NHL play on the Winnipeg Jets.

This is a great situational play. The Hurricanes come in off a very hard-fought 5-4 road win at Minnesota in extra time just last night and now it has to travel North of the border to play a tough game in Winnipeg. Can anyone say letdown spot? And with a game in rival Tampa on Tuesday, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for the visitors as well. The Jets have only played one home game so far and they beat the Kings 2-1. They’re coming off a 3-0 loss to Nashville, but with two nights off to prepare, we expect the JETS to lay the hammer down from start to finish. Lay the price.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bears.

Chicago enters off a 48-10 home win over Tampa Bay, while Miami comes in off a 27-17 road victory over Cincinnati. The Bears are getting fantastic play on both sides of the ball and I look for the team to continue that progression, averaging 27.8 PPG and allowing only 16.2. Miami enters off a 27-17 road loss in Cincinnati, unable to hold on to an early 17-0 lead. The Fish average only 19.8 PPG and they allow 23.4. Note as well that the Dolphins are just 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 following an ATS loss, while Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after posting more than 350 total yards in the air in its previous game. All signs point to a rout, play on the BEARS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Colts/Jets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Indianapolis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of its last 28 as an underdog and in 10 of its last 15 when the total in the contest is set between +3 and -3, while New York has seen the total go UNDER in seven of ten when playing against a team with a losing record and in four of its last six as a favorite. 

The bottom line: This number is a little bit high, play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 1* Free Play on the LA Rams.

LA comes in off a tough 33-31 road win in Seattle and remains unbeaten. We think that streak continues at Mile High with a convincing victory Sunday afternoon. Denver enters off a terrible 34-16 loss to the Jets. We have a hard time seeing the Broncos’ “on again, off again” defense slowing down Rams’ QB Jared Goff, who has 1,727 passing yards and a 12:4 TD:INT already. The Broncos gave up over 300 yards rushing last week as well, which doesn’t bode well facing LA RB Todd Gurley, who had 77 rushing yards last week and who also already has 415 receiving yards. Overall the Rams are averaging 34.6 points and allowing 19.6. The Broncos are averaging 20 PPG and they’re allowing 26.2. Note as well that the Rams are 6-4 ATS in their last ten non-conference games, while the Broncos are just 4-5 ATS in their last nine non-conference contests. While LA couldn’t cover the spread on the road last weekend, the conditions seems right for a big blowout this time around. Consider the RAMS on Sunday afternoon.

AAA Sports 

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Bucs/Saints.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Tampa has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 12 after two or more consecutive losses, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six after three or more consecutive SU losses. 

The bottom line: Tampa comes out of its bye week off two wins and desperate for a victory. The Bucs have been atrocious against the pass in the early going, but with a week off to prepare I’m expecting a marked improvement. It’s a huge game for both teams and we believe the pressure, along with all of the above posted situational and trend based factors do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy call in this one.

AAA Sports