Art Aronson Handicapper at AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Detroit Pistons.

The Celtics come in “flat” here in our opinion after their 129-108 home win over Atlanta last night. Detroit covered in its last game in Charlotte on Wednesday, but the Pistons will be hungry to get back into the winners circle after their tough 108-107 setback to the Hornets. They’re also out to avenge a 108-105 loss in Boston back on October 30th. It’s a perfect situational play for the PISTONS, but also note that the Celtics are just 7-9 ATS on the road this year and only 30-36 ATS after having won six or seven of their last eight games, while Detroit is already 6-2 ATS in its last eight when playing with double revenge after two straight loss vs. an opponent. Grab the points.

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This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between the Texans/Jets.

The Jets have nothing to play for this season, but the players have everything to play for for next year. The Jets will be trying to build some momentum and something positive for 2019 and they’d love nothing more than to play spoiler to the Texans, who are looking to rebound after their nine-game win streak was snapped last week against division rival Indianapolis. Houston once again has a great defense, but the big difference has been the improved play of QB DeShaun Watson, who has 3,298 yards and 22 TD’s this year. Jets’ rookie QB Sam Darnold returned last week vs. the Bills and New York broke a three-game slide with a 27-23 win. There’s no reason not to think that Darnold and company won’t carry that momentum over here. Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after a loss by three points or less, while New York has seen the total go OVER in four of five already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER.

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This is a 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Georgia Southern/EMU.

EMU finished 7-5, but with three straight victories to end the season. Georgia Southern also comes in with a ton of momentum after finishing 9-3 and back-to-back winver over Georgia State and Coastal Carolina. Last week Georgia Southern QB Shai Werts and RB Wesley Fields would combined for 226 rushing yards and two TD’s. EMU’ QB Tyler Wiegers finished with 1,887 passing yards and an 11/3 TD/INT. Note though that EMU has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more SU wins, while Georgia Southern has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. Look for each of the Eagles to open up the playbook and for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later.

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This is a 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR on North Texas.

Outright upset? Probably not, but we think the Mean Green will keep this one interesting late. UNT was 9-3 overall and 5-3 in the C-USA, while Utah State went 10-2 overall and 7-1 in the Mountain West. 

UNT averages 36.4 PPG and it allows only 21.8. Utah State averages 47.2 PPG and it allows 23. 

On paper, this one favors Utah State, but with the extra time off to prepare and with nothing to lose, we expect the Mean Green to take this one down to the wire. Note as well that Utah State is just 4-15 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with winning records, while UNT is still 10-3 ATS in its last 13 non-conference games.

Grab the points; play on NORTH TEXAS.

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