The #24 overall Auburn Tigers (6-3) meet the #5 overall Georgia Bulldogs (8-1) on Saturday night in an important SEC clash. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST at Sanford Stadium and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Georgia opened as a 14.5-point road favorite earlier this week. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as the Bulldogs are currently listed at -14.5. The total for the game is sitting at 50.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Georgia vs Auburn
Georgia clinched the SEC East title last weekend by defeating Kentucky 34-17 at home to improve to 8-1 on the season. The Bulldogs outgained the Wildcats in total yardage by a 444-310 margin and never looked back after opening up an early lead. They still have a lot to play for this weekend against Auburn, as they still fell out of a spot in the College Football Playoff despite winning in Week 10. QB Jake Fromm has thrown for 1,762 yards and 17 touchdowns so far this year, while the RB duo of Elijah Holyfield and D’Andre Swift have combined for almost 1,300 yards and 12 touchdowns. Overall, Georgia is currently averaging 38.1 points per game (20th overall) on 456.2 yards of total offense. They have really looked fantastic on the ground, averaging 233.8 rushing yards per game over their first nine games (17th overall).
The Bulldogs have played extremely well defensively so far this season, allowing opponents to score an average of just 16.4 points per game (10th overall). They have been fantastic against the pass, giving up an average of only 172.3 yards per game through the air (11th overall).
Auburn overcame a ten point deficit heading into the 4th quarter against Texas A&M last weekend, scoring 14 unanswered points to escape with a 28-24 victory at home. The Tigers were dominated in most other statistical categories against the Aggies, getting outgained 423-278 and giving up more than twice as many first downs (28-13). QB Jarrett Stidham is having a fairly good year, throwing for 1,953 yards and ten touchdowns. RB JaTarvious Whitlow leads the way on the ground, as he has rushed for 642 yards and four touchdowns so far this season. As a whole, Auburn is currently averaging just 28.3 points per game (75th overall) on 377.2 total yards of offense. They haven’t been all that impressive on the ground or through the air, ranking 82nd and 80th respectively.
On the other side of the ball, the Tigers are currently giving up just 17.3 points per game (13th overall). They have really done a great job shutting down opponents on the ground, allowing an average of only 134.1 yards per game on the ground (34th overall).
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Georgia -14.5
This is shaping up to be a great battle between two of the top teams in the SEC. Georgia still has a ton to play for over the last few weeks of the season, as they need to win out to have any shot at making the College Football Playoff. Auburn should have a lot of confidence heading into this matchup after mounting a valiant comeback last weekend against a tough Texas A&M squad. The biggest reason why I’m leaning towards the Bulldogs in this particular spot is relatively straight-forward – both defenses have been pretty much identical, while Georgia is averaging over ten more points per game than the Tigers. I don’t think that Auburn will be able to keep up for four quarters, especially playing on the road. They really have struggled at Sanford Stadium lately, going 0-5 ATS in their last five visits.
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Georgia is a very impressive 8-2 ATS over their last ten games against teams with a winning record. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten conference games and 10-4 ATS over their last 14 games overall. Auburn is just 2-6 ATS over their last eight games against opponents above .500 on the season. They are also only 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an against the spread win.
The Bulldogs have owned Auburn in this particular matchup in recent history, going 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. I am fully expecting that trend to continue here in Week 11, as Georgia won by 17+ on the road against a higher-ranked Kentucky team last weekend. Auburn will likely be able to keep things close for a couple of quarters before the Bulldogs pull away in the second half. I’ll lay the 14.5 points and take the home favorite that really needs a strong showing to move back into the Top 4 overall – give me the Bulldogs.