The Baylor Bears (1-0) host the UTSA Roadrunners (1-0) this weekend in Waco. Kickoff is set for 4:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 7th at McLane Stadium and the game will be televised on FOX Sports Networks.
Taking a look at the Week 2 college football odds, UTSA opened as a 26.5-point road underdog earlier this week. That line has shifted only slightly after early betting, as the Roadrunners are currently listed at +27. The total for the game is sitting at 57.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Baylor vs UTSA
UTSA moved to 1-0 overall last weekend after winning their home opener 35-7 over Incarnate Word. QB Frank Harris had a big game, going 28/36 for 206 yards and three touchdowns. Harris also led the Roadrunners in rushing, racking up 123 yards on just 15 carries. UTSA also did a great job spreading the ball around through the air and on the ground, as three separate receivers found the end zone while two different rushers scored touchdowns as well. The offense was certainly zoned in the entire game, scoring at least a touchdown in all four quarters. As a whole, the Roadrunners gained almost 500 yards of total offense which has to help their confidence moving forward.
The UTSA defense was also spectacular in Week 1, holding Incarnate Word to just seven points. They really elevated their game in the second half, as the Cardinals were shut out completely in the third and fourth quarter. While the Roadrunners did give up a few big plays through the air, they allowed just 28 total rushing yards all game.
Baylor also won their home opener last weekend, crushing Stephen F. Austin 56-17 in front of a packed house at McLane stadium. QB Charlie Brewer completed 21/31 passing attempts for 199 yards and three touchdowns on the evening, something that the Bears would love to see happen consistently moving forward. RB John Lovett had a monster game on the ground, rushing for 108 yards and a touchdown on only eight carries. Trestan Ebner also broke off some big runs, averaging 16.0 yards per rushing attempt and finding the end zone twice. WR R.J. Sneed also scored two touchdowns and hauled in five passes for 57 yards. Overall, the Baylor offense scored eight touchdowns on over 450 total yards.
The Bears defense got the job done against the Lumberjacks, although they did allow SFA to score two touchdowns on the ground despite rushing for just over 120 yards as a team. Baylor was very solid against the pass, forcing one interception and limiting QB Trae Self to 140 yards passing on a 52% completion rate.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UTSA +27
Even though I’m fulling expecting the Bears to improve to 2-0 this weekend, I still think that I’m going to take UTSA and the points in this matchup. Despite playing against a well-below average Incarnate Word program in Week 1, the Roadrunners showed me a lot offensively. Frank Harris may not be able to perform quite as well on the road against a more talented defense here in Week 2, but he should do enough to keep UTSA within striking distance for at least the first half of the game. Harris is going to be tough to shut down completely because of his ability as a runner, as he managed to create more than 300 total yards of offense on his own last weekend. Baylor should find a way to widen the gap on the scoreboard on the second half, but I don’t think they will be able to win by more than 2-3 touchdowns at most.
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Baylor also showed that they aren’t necessarily a defensive force in Week 1, as SFA did complete some nice passing plays and score two rushing touchdowns en route to covering the spread. It’s extremely important to note how poorly the Bears have fared as a double digit favorite recently, as they are a horrific 1-11-1 ATS over their last 13 games as a 10+ point favorite. I think that trend will continue on Saturday against a more than capable UTSA squad, so I’m going to take the road underdog and the bundle of points – give me the Roadrunners!