The Chicago Bears (10-4) travel to the Bay Area this weekend for a late-season battle with the San Francisco 49ers (4-10). Kickoff is set for 4:05 PM EST on December 23rd at Levi’s Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Bears listed as 3.5-point road favorites. That line shifted by half a point after early betting, as Chicago is currently available at -4. The total for this matchup is 42.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 16 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
49ers vs Bears Vegas Odds & Game Preview
San Francisco improved to 4-10 overall last weekend after a thrilling 26-23 overtime victory over Seattle. The 49ers came into the came as heavy underdogs but played extremely well down the stretch to pull off the huge upset at home. QB Nick Mullens played well, going 20/29 for 275 yards and a touchdown. He has really formed a strong connection with WR Dante Pettis, who caught five passes for 85 yards on the afternoon. TE George Kittle was unusually quiet, making just three receptions for 51 yards. However, Garrett Celek certainly picked up the slack, racking up 61 yards and a touchdown. RB Matt Breida led the way on the ground, carrying the ball 17 times for only 50 yards. However, his presence was certainly a boost for the 49ers offense after being forced to miss some time this year due to a lingering injury. As a whole, San Francisco is currently averaging 21.5 points per game (22nd overall) on 364.2 yards of total offense.
The 49ers have been well below average on the other side of the ball through their first fourteen games, allowing opponents to score 26.6 points per game (26th overall) on 346.0 yards of total offense. However, they have been a little bit better against the run as of late, holding opponents to 112.1 yards per game on the ground (13th overall).
Chicago won their second consecutive game last weekend, beating Green Bay 24-17 at home to lock up the NFC North. The Bears got off to a fast start, as they led 14-3 at halftime before allowing Rodgers and Co. to score 13 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter. They managed to turn things around in the 4th, scoring 10 points en route to a huge victory. QB Mitch Trubisky played well for the most part, going 20/28 for 235 yards and two touchdowns. TE Trey Burton led the way in the receiving game, catching four passes for 36 yards and a touchdown. RB Jordan Howard also found the end zone while adding 60 rushing yards on 19 carries. Overall, Chicago is currently averaging 27.4 points per game (5th overall) on 346.1 total yards of offense.
The Bears have been fantastic defensively for most of the regular season, as they are currently giving up just 18.9 points per game (3rd overall) on 310.9 total yards of offense. They have really been formidable against the run, limiting opponents to only 83.6 yards per game on the ground (2nd overall).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago -4
San Francisco has really been playing well as of late, but I’m still going to take the Bears in this particular matchup. I know that they don’t really have all that much to play for anymore after clinching the NFC North title last weekend, but they still should be able to do enough to grind out a cover on the road here in Week 16. Matt Breida is still battling injury problems while Kittle, Pettis, and Goodwin may have a tough time getting anything going against a tough Chicago defense.
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The 49ers are only 7-17-1 ATS over their last 25 games against teams with a winning record. They are also just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Chicago is a rock-solid 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against NFC opponents. They are also 5-1 ATS over their last six games against teams with a losing record and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
While the Niners might be able to keep this one close for a couple of quarters, I think the Bears should be able to pull away in the second half. The spread in this matchup would likely be much closer to a full touchdown if Chicago still had anything left to play for over the final two weeks of the regular season. With a current record of 10-4 ATS so far in 2018-19, I think that Trubisky and Co. have done enough this season to earn the benefit of the doubt despite the potential letdown spot. I’ll lay the four points and take the road favorite – give me the Bears.