We get Week 14 underway with the Chicago Bears hosting the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football. This is a rare occasion where both teams will be on normal rest in a Thursday matchup, as both teams played on Thanksgiving. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at Soldier Field and will be televised on both FOX and the NFL Network.
Oddsmakers opened up this line at Dallas -3, but early money on Chicago has it under the key number with the Cowboys at -2.5. The total for this matchup opened at 44 and is down to 42.5 at most books.
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Bears vs Cowboys Vegas Point Spread Preview
Dallas Cowboys (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS)
The Cowboys had a chance to make a statement in front of a national audience last week, but instead laid an egg at home in a 15-26 loss to the Bills as a 6.5-point favorite. While Dallas was nowhere close to covering in that one, they had covered 4 of their previous 5 and are still profitable on the season.
It didn’t end up costing the Cowboys like it should have, as the Eagles blew a 14-point 2nd half lead at Miami to fall to 5-7 and allow Dallas to maintain their 1-game lead in the division. However, it did hurt their chances of potentially sneaking in as a Wild Card. Chances are if the Cowboys don’t win the division, they will be out of the playoffs.
Chicago Bears (6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS)
The Bears kept their slim playoff hopes alive with a big rally on Thanksgiving against division rival Detroit. Chicago looked to be in big trouble trailing 17-7 with less than 3 minutes to go in the 1st half. They got it to 17-10 at intermission and went on to win 24-20 on a late 4th quarter score.
That’s back-to-back close wins against bad teams for the Bears, as they snuck out a 19-14 home win against the Giants the week before. With the Vikings currently holding on to the final NFC Wild Card spot at 8-4, Chicago needs to make up 2 games in 4 weeks. The good news is they still got a game against Minnesota in Week 17 and already beat the Vikings at home earlier in the season.
This will be the first meeting between these two teams since they met up in Dallas back in 2016, which the Cowboys won 31-16 as a 6.5-point home favorite.
Free Betting Pick & Predictions: Cowboys -2.5
My early lean here would be to lay the points with the Cowboys, but I’ll be waiting to see what’s going down with some of these injuries for Dallas, as they got all kinds of key guys listed as questionable. In all honesty these are two teams I really don’t trust all that much, so the UNDER is also in play as a potential pick.
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For me it comes down to quarterback play and who I trust more to make the big plays when needed. It’s not really much of a debate in my eyes. Dak Prescott is far from elite, but he’s a heck of a lot better than Mitch Trubisky.
Not only do the Bears have a liability at quarterback in Trubisky, but they don’t have any real weapons at receiver or tight end and the running game has been non-existent. Chicago has rushed for more than 90 yards just twice all season and only once in their last 10 games. When you can’t effectively run the ball on first down, you end up with a lot of 3rd and long situations and Trubisky isn’t a guy that convert those on a consistent basis.
I’m also not buying the thought that the Bears have turned their season around with 3 wins in their last 4 games. Especially when you take into consideration that two of those were against the Lions and the other was against the Giants and they won all 3 by 7 or less.
Sure the Cowboys were embarrassed on Thanksgiving by Buffalo, but that’s a really good Bills team. They also hurt themselves in that defeat, as they only managed 15 points despite putting up over 425 yards of total offense. Give me Dallas -2.5!