The Chicago Bears (5-3) host the Detroit Lions (3-5) this weekend in an important NFC North battle. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 11th at Soldier Field. The game will be televised on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Bears listed as 7-point home favorites. That line has moved by just half a point after early betting, as Chicago is currently available at -6.5. The total for this matchup is 45 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 10 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Bears vs Lions Vegas Odds & Game Preview

Detroit dropped back to 3-5 on the season after a tough 24-9 loss at Minnesota in Week 9. The Lions really struggled on offense in their first game without WR Golden Tate, who was shipped to Philadelphia at the trade deadline. QB Matthew Stafford threw for less than 200 yards against the Vikings while also failing to find the end zone. Stafford has passed for 2,111 yards and 14 touchdowns in eight games, but has struggled to perform well against quality opponents. He will look to continue to build chemistry with Marvin Jones Jr. and Kenny Golladay, who should see even more work with the departure of Tate. The receiving duo has combined for 976 yards and eight touchdowns on the year. On the ground, rookie RB Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 503 rushing yards. As a whole, Detrioit is currently averaging 22.5 points per game (20th) on 352.9 total yards of offense.

Things have looked pretty bad on the other side of the ball, as the Lions are giving up an average of 26.3 points per game (23rd overall) on 357.1 total yards. They have been brutal against the run, as opponents are averaging 142.5 yards per game on the ground (30th overall).

Chicago won their second consecutive game last weekend, defeating the Bills 41-9 to move to 5-3 on the year. The Bears dominated Buffalo on both sides of the ball, racking up three touchdowns on offense while also scoring two on the defensive end. They also forced four turnovers while only committing one of their own.  QB Mitch Trubisky didn’t have to do all that much, throwing for 135 yeards and a touchdown in the victory. While Tarik Cohen has been the story out of the backfield so far this season, it was RB Jordan Howard who had the better game in Week 10, rushing for two scores. Overall, Chicago is currently averaging 29.4 points per game (6th overall) on 358.6 yards of total offense. They have really looked strong in the running game, averaging 128.4 yards per game on the ground (7th overall).

The Bears have been fantastic defensively, as they are currently giving up just 19.1 points per game (4th overall) on 321.4 yards of total offense. They have been especially good against the run, limiting opponents to just 85.0 yards per game on the ground (3rd overall).

Free NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago -6.5

I know divisional games are usually quite tightly contested, but I still think that the Bears offer a ton of value in this particular spot. Detroit is not playing good football right now, as they have now lost two consecutive games by double-digits. They clearly miss Golden Tate on offense, while the pressure of being a head coach in the NFL is clearly getting to Matt Patricia after his confrontation with a reporter prior to Week 9. Chicago has played very well at home so far this season, going 4-1 so far. They also have looked very impressive on both sides of the ball, as they currently rank inside of the top 10 in points scored and points allowed. As long as this line stays under a touchdown, I’m taking the Bears to cover all day in this matchup. 

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Detroit is just 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. They are also just 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven games against the Bears. Chicago is a very solid 7-3 ATS over their last ten games overall. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games at Soldier Field and 4-1 ATS over their last five games against NFC North opponents.

The Bears are currently in first place in the NFC North for a reason – they have been the most consistent team by far, while Detroit has been all over the map since their embarrassing performance against the Jets in Week 1. Stafford has one less weapon on offense for a matchup with one of the top five defenses in the entire NFL, so I certainly don’t like his chances of a rebound performance after struggling in Minnesota last weekend. LB Khalil Mack has also been cleared to play this weekend, so things could easily get really ugly in a hurry for the Lions offense in this one. I’m happy to lay less than a touchdown in this spot – I’m taking the home favorite to keep things rolling at home against a mediocre Detroit team.