The Chicago Bears (3-2) host the New England Patriots (4-2) on Sunday afternoon in a battle between two teams with winning records. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, October 21st at Soldier Field. The game will be televised on FOX.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Patriots listed as as 3.5-point road favorites. That line has remained pretty much the same after early betting, as New England is currently available at -3.5. The total for this matchup is 49.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 7 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Bears vs Patriots Vegas Odds & Game Preview

New England improved to 4-2 on the season last weekend after a thrilling 43-40 victory over the previously unbeaten Kansas City Chiefs. The Patriots hung tough with Mahomes and Co. all game long before moving the ball down the field one last time to set up the winning field goal as time expired. QB Tom Brady was fantastic, throwing for 340 yards and one touchdown. As has often been the case throughout the career, Brady was cool under pressure and found a way to lead his team to victory on the last drive of the game. He really seems to have found some chemistry with newly acquired WR Josh Gordon, as he targeted Gordon nine times on a season-high 63 offensive snaps. RB Sony Michel had another strong game, rushing for over 100 yards and scoring two touchdowns. As a whole, New England is currently averaging 29.3 points per game (4th) on 381.2 total yards (13th).

On the other side of the ball, the Pats are giving up are giving up 24.7 points per game (18th) on an average of 379.3 total yards per game (21st). They have been just below average defending against the pass and the run, as they are currently ranked 21st and 18th overall respectively.

The Bears choked away a massive first half lead against Miami last weekend, losing the game 31-28 after getting outscored 18-7 in the second half. Chicago looked to be well on their way to a very impressive 4-1 start before the defense collapsed in the final two quarters. QB Mitch Trubisky had another quality game, throwing for 316 yards and three touchdowns as an encore after throwing six TD’s against the Bucs back in Week 5. Trubisky has looked great for the Bears so far this season and is a big reason why they are currently averaging 27.8 points per game (10th). WR Taylor Gabriel posted his second straight 100+ yard performance against Miami, catching five passes for 110 yards.

Chicago looked like the best defensive team in the NFL prior to their setback last weekend, as they allowed backup QB Brock Osweiler to torch them for 380 yards and two touchdowns through the air. However, the Bears are still giving up an average of just 19.2 points per game (4th) on 343.8 yards per game. They will have a stern test against Brady and Co. this weekend, as the Pats really seem to be on a roll as of late.

Free NFL Betting Prediction: New England -3.5

I’m really looking forward to this particular matchup this weekend, as it will showcase elite talent on both sides of the ball. I can’t wait to see if Khalil Mack and the rest of the Chicago defense are able to rebound after getting embarrassed on the road in Miami last weekend. However, New England has scored at least 38 points in each of their last three games – they are really firing on all cylinders right now and I’m not sure if even the Bears can slow them down. The Patriots have shown that they have been able to outscore their issues on defense and I think that will likely be the case again this weekend. 

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Chicago is just 1-4 ATS over their past five games in Week 7. They are also just 1-7 straight up in their last eight games against the Patriots. New England is 31-13 ATS over their last 44 games and 14-5 ATS in their last nineteen road games. They are also 10-4 ATS over their last fourteen games after an against the spread loss.

While I do think that the Bears should be able to keep this one close, I don’t have the same level of confidence in their defense that I did prior to the brutal performance against Miami. If they were unable to stop Brock Osweiler, am I really that confident that they will be able to shut down a streaking Tom Brady? As much as quality defense seems to win out over quality offense, I still have to keep siding with New England in these spots until they start losing against the spread consistently. Chicago will find the end zone several times – I certainly don’t hate the over in this spot either – but the Patriots will find a way to grind out a tough cover on the road.