This Sunday two of the most popular picks prior to the season starting to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl will face off as the Chicago Bears host the New Orleans Saints. Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST at Soldier Field and will be televised locally on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened up this line with Chicago -4, but as of right now the Bears are sitting at -3.5 and several have Chicago at -3 with heavy juice. The total opened at 39.5 and is down to 38.5 or 38 depending on where you shop.
Click here for a full look at the Week 7 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.
Bears vs Saints Betting Preview & Vegas Game Odds
New Orleans Saints (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS)
There was a ton of concern on whether or not the Saints would be able to stay in the mix after a 27-9 loss at the Rams in Week 2, as they lost future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees to a thumb injury that would have him sidelined six to eight weeks.
You can throw that concern out the window. Teddy Bridgewater has come in and won four straight as the starter. The most recent being a 13-6 victory at Jacksonville as a 2.5-point dog. Those that trusted in Bridgewater have made a killing, as the Saints are a perfect 4-0 ATS since he took over.
Chicago Bears (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
The Bears will be returning from their bye week looking to rebound from a surprising 24-21 loss to the Raiders as a 7-point favorite in London. Chicago has a winning record at 3-2, but the struggles this team has had offensively create a lot of concern going forward.
Like the Saints, the Bears have had to deal with an injury to their starting QB. Mitch Trubisky played just a few minutes of their 16-6 win at home against the Vikings and he was not able to suit up against the Raiders. Good news for Chicago is that Trubisky will likely return from injury this week.
Big game for the Bears, as they sit 3rd in what has turned out to be a loaded NFC North this season. With Green Bay sitting at 5-1 and having already beat Chicago on the road, a loss would give them quite the uphill climb in the division.
These two teams last met in 2017, which the Saints won 20-12 as a 7.5-point favorite. That game stayed well below the posted total of 46. It’s the only meeting between the two teams in the last four years.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: UNDER 38.5
My early lean here would be to take the UNDER 38.5. I would probably take New Orleans at +3.5 if I had to take a side, but I just think the spread is a toss up. You got two teams with extreme limitations offensively going up against maybe the two best defenses in the league.
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Getting Trubisky back is great, but the more he plays the more he looks like a bust. If you take away the Redskins game where he went 25 of 31 for 231 yards and 3 scores, Trubisky has completed just 58.7% of his attempts with 0 touchdown passes and 1 interception.
New Orleans ranks 10th in total defense and 11th in scoring defense. In their last two games they have held the Bucs and Jaguars to under 100 yards rushing and less than 160 yards passing. Chicago has already totaled 3 games this season with 16 or fewer points.
As for the Saints offense, it’s nothing close to what we have grown accustomed to with Brees. New Orleans is winning game with the run game and defense. Bridgewater threw for 345 against the Bucs, but done next to nothing in the passing game in his other 3 starts.
The big key here is the Saints will either be without star running back Alvin Kamara or he will suit up at less than 100%. Kamara clearly wasn’t full strength against the Jags last week, as he had just 66 total yards (only 31 rushing yards on 11 attempts).
Chicago has the 5th ranked run defense, giving up just 83 yards/game and are 3rd in scoring defense, allowing just 13.8 ppg. Give me the UNDER 38.5!