The Denver Broncos host the Cincinnati Bengals this weekend in a match-up between two NFC teams with identical 3-6 records. Game time is 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, November 19th at Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. The game will be televised on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have Denver as 2.5-point home favorites. That line has remained unchanged for much of the week, as the Broncos originally opened at -2.5. The over/under for the game is 40 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 11 betting odds and links to more game previews.

Bengals vs Broncos Vegas Preview & Game Predictions

Cincinnati suffered a tough loss against the Tennessee Titans last weekend to fall back to 3-6 on the season and just 1-4 on the road. The Bengals actually had a 20-17 lead late in the 4th quarter but couldn’t hold on during the last five minutes of the game, eventually falling 24-20. The usually solid Cincinnati defense has now allowed 23+ points in four consecutive games and seems to be really struggling to defend against the rush. The Titans gained 180 yards on the ground and really exposed the Bengals 27th ranked run defense. On the other side of the ball, the Cincinnati offense has clearly struggled to put points on the board all season long. Andy Dalton and Co. are ranked almost dead last in every offensive category, and have been especially bad at establishing the run. The Bengals rank dead last in the entire NFL on the ground, averaging just 70.1 yards per game.

The Broncos continued their recent defensive struggles last Sunday night, giving up 40+ points for the second consecutive game. Tom Brady had a field day against the 29th ranked scoring defense, as Denver is currently allowing opponents to score an average of 26.6 points per game. QB Brock Osweiler looked slightly better in his second stint as the Broncos starting quarterback, but he was still overwhelmingly mediocre at best. Osweiler passed for just 221 yards and 1 touchdown against the Patriots. As a whole, this Denver offense is ranked 19th overall in total yards per game (328.6). They are also ranked just 24th overall in scoring offense, averaging 18.4 points per game. To make things even worse, their usually formidable defense has really taken a step back the last few games. They are still managing to limit teams on the ground however, as opponents have been averaging just 89.6 rushing yards per game (5th overall).

Free Pro Football Pick Against The Spread : Broncos -2.5

Both of these teams have really struggled this season and will desperate for a victory. I think that the Broncos should be able to win this one by at least a field goal, as their defense finally gets a better match-up after getting torched by the high-flying Eagles and Brady and Co. in consecutive weeks. Cincinnati can’t run the football at all and now has to face an 8th ranked Broncos passing defense that should be able to focus all of their attention on shutting down A.J. Green.

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The Bengals defense has also been repeatedly exposed on the ground, which means C.J. Anderson should be able to turn things around as well. Denver is ranked 13th overall on the ground, averaging 113.0 rushing yards per game. They now get to face the 27th ranked rushing defense that just allowed Tennessee to rush for almost 200 yards. I might have second thoughts about taking Denver if they were playing on the road this weekend, but they should be able to put up a solid rebound performance at home on Sunday afternoon. The Broncos have won 10 consecutive home games in a row against Cincinnati, and I expect that streak to continue.