The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) are set to host the Cincinnati Bengals (4-2) on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:20 EST at Arrowhead Stadium and will be televised nationally on NBC.

Oddsmakers currently have the Chiefs listed as a 6-point home favorite with the total set at 58 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 7 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.

Betting Preview & Vegas NFL Odds: Bengals vs Chiefs

Cincinnati comes into this one off a crushing 28-21 home loss to the Steelers. Their sixth straight defeat against their hated NFC North rivals. This one was especially tough to swallow, as the Bengals went 75-yards on 9-plays to take a 21-20 lead with 1:18 left in regulation, only to let the Steelers go right down the field for the win.

Kansas City comes off a very similar type of loss on the road against the Patriots, as they fell 43-40 in New England on Sunday Night Football. The Chiefs, who trailed 24-9 at the half, rallied to take a 33-30 lead in the 4th quarter and would tie the game at 40-40 with 3 minutes to play. Unfortunately, that was more than enough time for Tom Brady to take the Patriots down for the game-winning field goal as time expired.

This will be the first meeting between these two franchises since they faced off in Week 4 of the 2015 season. A game the Bengals won 36-21 as a 3.5-point home favorite. It was Cincinnati’s 4th straight win in the series, but only one of those have come since Andy Reid became the head coach of Kansas City.

Free NFL Pick Against the Spread & Predictions: Chiefs -6

My early lean here would be to lay the points with Kansas City at home. While both teams are fresh off crushing losses in Week 6, I think the Bengals are going to have the much harder time bouncing back. Cincinnati desperately wanted to beat the Steelers and snap that 5-game losing streak to Pittsburgh. To lose the way they did, where they felt like they had won the game, only magnifies the loss.

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As for the Chiefs loss at New England, there just wasn’t the same vibe, even though the way they loss was very similar. That felt more like a win for Kansas City. Not many teams can rally from a 24-9 deficit on the road against the Patriots and take a lead in the 4th quarter. I think that loss really showed this team what they are capable of and they now have the belief that this whole Super Bowl thing is well within their reach.

With all that said, I would have leaned towards taking the Chiefs laying less than a touchdown before last week’s outcome. What a lot of people overlook with Kansas City’s 5-1 start, is they have only played two home games. Both of which they won by double-digits and had commanding leads. They were 35-10 at the half against the 49ers at home in Week 3 and 20-0 on the Jaguars a couple weeks back.

The Chiefs have one of the biggest homefield advantages in the NFL and Arrowhead is going to be electric with this being a prime time game under the lights. While the offense has proven it can play anywhere at any time, I think playing at home really helps out a defense that has struggled.

Another promising sign for the Chiefs defense is the Bengals’ offense managed just 275 yards at home against a Steelers defense that hasn’t played a whole lot better than Kansas City’s defense early on. I think some of that is just the limitations of Cincinnati’s offense with Andy Dalton and some of it’s the injuries that have piled up on that side of the ball.

As for the Chiefs offense, I think we have seen enough of Patrick Mahomes and this talented set of skill players to know they aren’t going anywhere. I think Kansas City is going to easily put up 30+ points on the board and that should be more than enough to cash in a win and cover against a physically and emotionally drained Bengals team. Give me the Chiefs -6!