This Sunday the Dallas Cowboys will host the Cincinnati Bengals in a key Week 5 matchup. Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST and will be televised locally on CBS. Oddsmakers have the Cincinnati as a 1.5-point favorite and the total at 45 points.

Bengals vs Cowboys Vegas Odds Preview

Cincinnati (2-2) comes in to this contest off a much-needed 22-7 home win over the Dolphins. It came on the heels of back-to-back losses to the Steelers (16-24) and Broncos (17-29).

Dallas (3-1) continues to get the job done behind rookie quarterback Dak Prescott. The Cowboys have won 3 straight since losing their opener at home to the Giants. This past week they went on the road and beat the 49ers 24-17.

Free Spread Pick & Predictions: Bengals -1.5

Not to take anything away from the Cowboys, but I just think this team is getting way too much respect right now. Dallas is 3-1, but let’s not get carried away. Their three wins have come against the Redskins, Bears and 49ers. I think the Cowboys are in for a rude awakening this week against the Bengals.

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While I feel Dallas is overrated right now, I think Cincinnati is flying under the radar. The Bengals are 2-2 with losses to the Steelers and Broncos, two legit Super Bowl threats. Both of those came without star linebacker Vontaze Burfict on the defensive side of the ball. He returned last week against the Dolphins and his presence will be felt against the Cowboys.

It’s no secret that Dallas has a strong running game, but I think the Bengals are equipped to slow them down. Keep in mind the Cowboys have lost starting left guard La’el Collins. On top of that starting left tackle Tyron Smith and top reserve Chaz Green are both questionable. Dallas could also be without star wide out Dez Bryant for a second straight game. Even if he plays, he figures to be limited.

If Cincinnati can keep Dallas from running at will, it will keep them from dominating the time of possession. That’s huge, because Dallas’ defense isn’t great. Regardless of the fact, Cincinnati is going to be able to move the ball. Keep in mind the Cowboys could be without top corner Orlando Scandrick (questionable). That’s a big loss, as that leave’s them without a legit threat to cover star wide out A.J. Green.

This could also be a game where the Bengals are able to get their running game going. While Dallas ranks 11th versus the run (94.8 ypg), they are giving up 4.4 yards/carry.

I also think Cincinnati understands the importance of this game. The last thing they want to do is fall to 2-3 with a road game against the Patriots on deck. Let’s also not forget the Bengals have an edge here in rest, as they played last Thursday.

Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis is 31-17 ATS with the Bengals after a win by 10 or more. He’s also 10-2 ATS in his 12 games against the NFC East. Dallas has had their struggles covering at home, where they are just 16-30 ATS under Garrett. Cincinnati on the other hand has been a road covering machine the past two seasons. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after the first month of the season.