The struggling Buffalo Bills (2-6) host the Chicago Bears (4-3) on Sunday afternoon in a clash between two teams going in opposite directions. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 4th at New Era Field. The game will be televised on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Bears listed as 8.5-point road favorites. That line has changed only slightly after early betting, as Chicago is currently available at -9. The total for this matchup is 49 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 9 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Bills vs Bears Vegas Odds & Game Preview
Chicago got back above .500 on the season last weekend after an impressive 24-10 victory over the New York Jets. The Bears were missing several key players on both sides of the ball, including WR Allen Robinson and LB Khalil Mack. QB Mitch Trubisky continued his string of impressive performances as of late, throwing for 220 yards and two touchdowns. Both of his running backs had excellent games against the Jets, as RB Jordan Howard had 81 rushing yards and a touchdown while RB Tarik Cohen turned a short pass out of the backfield into a 70 yard touchdown. As a whole, Chicago is currently averaging 27.7 points per game on offense (9th overall) on 382.7 total yards. They have been an extremely balanced team so far this season, averaging 245.1 yards per game through the air and 137.6 yards per game on the ground.
Things have also been going quite well on the other side of the ball for the Bears, as they have held opponents to an average of just 20.6 points per game on 329.6 yards of total offense. Chicago has been exceptional against the run, giving up an average of just 83.1 yards per game on the ground (3rd overall).
Buffalo got badly outplayed on Monday Night Football in Week 8, losing 25-6 against the New England Patriots to drop to 2-5 overall. The Bills offense was especially bad, as backup QB Derek Anderson couldn’t find the end zone before being forced to leave in the 4th quarter with a concussion. This means that the interception-prone Nathan Peterman will start on Sunday afternoon against the Bears, which certainly doesn’t bode well for Buffalo. RB LeSean McCoy did show some signs of life against the Pats, racking up almost 100 total yards on the evening. However, he could be in tough against a Chicago defense that is currently 3rd overall against the rush. Overall, the Bills are currently averaging a ridiculously low 10.9 points per game so far this season – dead last in the NFL.
The Bills haven’t been quite as bad defensively, although things certainly haven’t been all that great either. Buffalo is currently giving up an average of 25.0 points per game (19th overall) on 329.1 total yards of offense. They have actually been quite good against the pass, limiting opponents to just 222.8 yards per game through the air (6th overall).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago -9
There is absolutely no way I’m going to put any of my hard earned cash on the Bills for as long as they are starting Nathan Peterman. Peterman has easily been the worst quarterback in the NFL over the past decade – so far this year, he has thrown four interceptions and just one touchdown. His QBR over three starts this season is currently just 4.8 – I repeat, 4.8! There is no way he is going to have any success at all against a tough Chicago defense on Sunday. While the Bills have actually been fairly decent defensively, their bad play on offense constantly sets up opponents with fantastic field position. Mitch Trubisky has really been playing well lately, as has Tarik Cohen. I think the Bears should be able to find a way to win this one by double-digits.
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Buffalo is just 1-4 ATS over their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. They are also only 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 9 and 3-5 ATS over their last eight games overall. Chicago is a very solid 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record. They are also 4-0-1 ATS over their last five games in Week 9 and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Even if Khalil Mack is forced to miss his second game in a row, the Bears should have a field day against Peterman and Co. on Sunday. I would honestly be shocked if the Bills find a way to score more than 10 points in this particular matchup. On the other side of the ball, Trubisky has been consistently throwing at least two touchdowns in every one of his starts so far this season. This smells like a 24-7 type game, so I’m overjoyed to only be laying nine points in this particular spot. I’m taking Chicago all day here – I might even take them at -13.5. Anyways, -9 seems like a no-brainer to me – I’ll take the road favorite to cover.