The Buffalo Bills (4-8) host the New York Jets (3-9) this Sunday in a matchup between two struggling AFC East teams. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 9th at New Era Field and the game will be broadcast on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Bills listed as 3.5-point home favorites. That line hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as Buffalo is currently available at -3.5. The total for this matchup is 38.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 14 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Bills vs Jets Vegas Odds & Game Preview

New York has now lost six consecutive games after a tough 26-22 loss against Tennessee last weekend. The Jets had a strong first two quarters against the Titans, leading 16-6 at halftime before giving up 13 unanswered points in the 4th quarter. QB Josh McCown didn’t play well, passing for just 128 yards and failing to find the end zone. In fact, the only touchdown New York scored all game was off of a 31-yard Trumaine Johnson interception return. McCown will likely head back to the bench here in Week 14, as rookie Sam Darnold appears to be ready to suit up on Sunday afternoon after missing several games due to a foot injury. As a whole, the offense is currently averaging just 20.3 points per game (26th overall) on 301.0 total yards.

The Jets have also been below average defensively through their first twelve games, allowing opponents to score 25.6 points per game (22nd overall) on 376.4 total yards of offense. They have really struggled to defend against the run, giving up an average of 128.3 yards per game on the ground (26th overall).

Buffalo saw their modest two game win streak come to an end last weekend, dropping a 21-17 decision on the road to Miami. The Bills trailed 14-6 at halftime and couldn’t find a way to come back down the stretch despite outscoring the Dolphins 11-7 in the second half. QB Josh Allen played well, throwing for 231 yards and two touchdowns while also adding a career-high 135 rushing yards on just nine carries. Streaky WR Zay Jones had a big game as well, catching four passes for 67 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Buffalo is currently averaging only 14.8 points per game (31st overall) on 285.7 yards of total offense per game.

The Bills have been fairly solid on the other side of the ball so far this season, giving up an average of 24.4 points per game (18th overall). They have been especially tough against the pass, holding opponents to just 187.2 yards per game through the air – the lowest average in the entire NFL.

Free NFL Betting Prediction: Buffalo -3.5

This matchup is certainly going to be a tough sell in terms of entertainment factor, as the game total of just 38.5 points is far and away the lowest on the board here in Week 14. There certainly isn’t likely to be much offense in this one, as both New York and Buffalo have struggled to points on the board this year, while the frigid weather will likely play a big factor as well. However, the Bills have been playing much better as of late, as they easily could have won three games in a row if they had played better in the second half against Miami. Josh Allen seems to be slowly progressing, racking up almost 400 total yards of offense his last time out. Meanwhile, Sam Darnold hasn’t played since early November and will likely have to shake off some rust in the first couple quarters against a tough Bills secondary. 

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New York is a brutal 1-4 ATS over their last five road games. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the NFC East and 3-7 ATS over their last ten games against the NFC overall. Buffalo is a rock-solid 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against the Jets. They are also 7-3 ATS over their last ten games against New York overall.

While this game certainly isn’t “Must See TV”, I think that the Bills still offer decent value in this particular matchup. Allen and Jones have shown explosive chemistry as of late, combining for over 150 receiving yards and three touchdowns over the last three weeks. They have also owned the Jets over the past several years, especially at New Era Field. Darnold will need some time to get back into the swing of things after missing over a month of action, so I’m laying the points and taking the home favorite – give me Buffalo.