This Sunday the New York Jets will host the Buffalo Bills in the regular season finale. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at MetLife Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS. Oddsmakers have Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite with the total at 42.5 points. Click here for more Week 17 game previews and betting odds.

Bills vs Jets Vegas Odds Preview

Buffalo (7-8) comes in off a 31-34 overtime loss at home to the Dolphins. The Bills rallied from a 0-14 and 7-21 deficit to take a 31-28 lead with less than 2 minutes to play. Miami tied it up on a last second field goal and won on a field goal with less than minutes to play in overtime. Ownership had enough and fired head coach Rex Ryan and brother Rob Ryan after the game. Anthony Linn will serve as the interim head coach for Week 17.

New York (4-11) enters off an ugly 3-41 loss at New England. It was over shortly after it started, as the Pats led 27-0 by halftime. New York managed just 239 yards of total offense and turned it over 4 times. It was the Jets third loss by 20 or more points in their last 4 games.

These two teams last played in Week 2 at Buffalo. The Jets won that game 37-31, behind a big day from Ryan Fitzpatrick. He completed 24 of 34 attempts for 374 yards. The victory snapped the Bills 5-game winning streak in the series.

Free Pick & Betting Predictions: Jets +3.5

As bad as New York looked last week, I think the value is with them as a home dog. It’s clearly not been the season the Jets were hoping for, but I expect them to play with a lot of pride. They certainly don’t want to go into the offseason with another loss like they had against the Pats.

Click on the link for more free football picks from our experts on staff.

The bigger factor here is I just don’t trust this Bills team to show up. Not only did they fire their head coach and defensive coordinator with one week left. A move some thought came a bit too soon, given it was only Ryan’s second year on the job. They also stated that starting QB Tyrod Taylor won’t play. Not because he’s not healthy, but because they don’t want to risk paying his $30 million guarantee for next year if he were to suffer a serious injury.

I completely understand the move from a business perspective. However, I don’t think it’s one that is going to sit well with the rest of the players in the locker room. Don’t be surprised if the Bills have a long list of guys who sit this one out with a nagging injury.

It’s one of those games where you have to look at the motivation more than the statistics. The numbers here are going to be overwhelming in favor of Buffalo. With that said, not having Taylor at QB is a big loss for the Bills. E.J. Manuel doesn’t pose near the threat on the ground and is no where close in terms of his passing ability. The Jets should be able to load the box and force Manuel to beat them with his arm. My guess is he won’t be up to the task.