Despite the lowest of expectations heading into the season, the New York Jets will be excited to play the division rival Buffalo Bills in their 2017 regular season opener. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST on Saturday, September 10, at New Era Field in Buffalo, New York. The game will be televised in local markets on CBS.

The Bills are listed as 7-point favorites, up slightly after opening at -6.5. The over/under for the game is set at 41. Click here for more free NFL picks against the spread and total from our expert handicappers.

Jets vs Bills: Vegas Betting Line & Game Preview

Little is expected of the Jets heading into the season. Head coach Todd Bowles appears to be on the hot seat after last year’s 5-11 record. However, few pundits are giving him a chance to get the Jets moving in the right direction this season. In fact, some people believe that the Jets could be the worst team in the NFL in 2017, even worse than the Browns.

Meanwhile, there’s a glimmer of hope in Buffalo with Sean McDermott taking over as head coach after two forgettable seasons with Rex Ryan at the helm. However, there’s a great deal of skepticism about the team’s chances this season after a pair of radical trades made during the middle of training camp, not to mention uncertainty at the quarterback position, which is something their Week 1 opponents can relate to.

Free NFL Betting Pick Against the Spread: Bills -7

Even with a full touchdown to cover, the smart bet here is the Bills beating the Jets handily at home. Of course, this comes with the caveat that starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor makes it out of the league’s concussion protocol in time to play. If Taylor can’t play and rookie Nathan Peterman gets the nod, forget about picking a winner altogether and just go for the under because there’s no way these two teams can combine for more than 41 points if it’s Peterman and Josh McCown playing under center.

If Taylor is healthy, the Bills should be functional enough on offense to beat the Jets comfortably. Remember, they still have LeSean McCoy, who remains one of the most dynamic rushers in the game. But if Peterman is the starting quarterback, the Jets will just load up the box to stop McCoy and force the rookie quarterback to beat them.

Click here for more free NFL picks against the spread and total from our expert handicappers.

On the other side of the ball, the Bills should be solid enough defensively to shut down a New York offense that could be historically bad. With McCown, a 38-year old journeyman, running the show, the Jets may actually take a step backward from last year when Ryan Fitzpatrick was the quarterback. On top of that, the Jets are without their top two receivers from last year, Quincy Enunwa and Brandon Marshall. 

New York’s running back tandem of Matt Forte and Bilal Powell is nice. But the Bills are strong enough up front to eventually get a handle on the New York rushing attack. At some point, McCown will have to make plays with his arm if the Jets are going to have a chance in this game, and that’s hard to imagine with the receivers he has at his disposal.

As long as Taylor is alive for this game, there’s no reason why the Bills shouldn’t be able to win and cover the spread. They are definitely the superior team, especially at home. But if it ends up being Peterman and McCown under center, stay away from this game in every way possible. That includes watching it.