The Seattle Seahawks are set to host the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 EST at CenturyLink Field and will be televised on ESPN. Oddsmakers have Seattle as a 6.5-point favorite with the total at 43.5 points. Click here for more NFL betting odds and game leans for Week 9.

Bills vs Seahawks Vegas Betting Preview

Buffalo (4-4) comes into this one off an ugly 25-41 home loss to the Patriots as a 5.5-point dog. It was even more lopsided than it looked, as the Bills added a garbage touchdown late in the 4th quarter. That’s now two straight losses for Buffalo after they had won 4 straight.

Seattle (4-2-1) came up short in a 20-25 road loss at New Orleans as a slim 1-point favorite. The Seahawks didn’t trail in the game until the 4th quarter. They had their chances late. Seattle had to settle for a field goal after failing to cash in on a 1st and goal from the 5. They also had the ball 1st and 10 at the 18 with 16 seconds left down by 5.

Free Pick & Odds Predictions: UNDER 43.5

I think the value is with Buffalo on first look. However, I don’t like betting against Seattle at home. Especially in a prime time game. For those reasons, my early lean here is on these two to under the total of 43.5.

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It’s no secret that Seattle has one of the best defenses in the NFL. It’s been the case the last few years. They come in ranked 6th in total defense, allowing just 319.4 ypg. They are strong in both phases, ranking 7th against the run and 9th against the pass. They are also 2nd in scoring defense, behind only Minnesota, allowing just 15.9 ppg.

With Seattle playing at home, I think it’s going to be really tough for Buffalo to generate a lot of offense. The Bills had okay numbers offensively against New England, but a lot of that game after the game was out of hand. They are still without their top wide out in Sammy Watkins. They may also be without Marquise Goodwin (questionable), who leads the team with 3 TD catches. It’s also up in the air if LeSean McCoy will play.

On the flip side of this, I also don’t think the Seahawks’ offense is going to do a lot here. Seattle is just 23rd in total defense (339.9 ypg) and 29th in scoring (18.7). Only the Rams, Texans and Bears rank worse in points/game. Russell Wilson is not playing well. He’s got a bum leg and a horrible offensive line. The thing is, people are holding on to what they have seen from him and this offense in the past.

Buffalo’s defense didn’t look great last week, but that was against Brady and the Pats. I don’t know that any defense can keep them in check with the way Brady is playing. The Bills front should dominate here against Seattle’s o-line. Keep in mind Buffalo is tied with Denver for the league lead with 26 sacks. Lorenzo Alexander is the main culprit, who has a league-high 9 sacks.

We just saw Seattle play a 6-6 tie two weeks ago against Arizona in a prime time game. I don’t know that it will be that bad, but it’s not out of the question. UNDER is 12-3 in the Bills last 15 as a road dog. It’s also a perfect 5-0 in the Seahawks last 5 games played on Monday Night Football.