This Friday the No. 22 Florida State Seminoles will host the Boston College Eagles in Week 11 action. Kickoff is set for 7:30 EST at Doak Campbell Stadium and will be televised on ESPN2. Oddsmakers have the Seminoles as a 21-point favorite with the total set at 48.5 points.
Boston College vs Florida State Vegas Betting Preview
The Eagles (4-5, 1-5 ACC) come into this one off a 7-52 blowout loss at home to Louisville. The Eagles trailed 21-0 at the end of the 1st quarter and 38-0 at the half. They were outgained on the game 515-207.
The Seminoles (6-3, 3-3 ACC) enter off a 24-20 come-from-behind win at NC State. It was an impressive bounce back effort for FSU after the loss to Clemson the week prior. The Seminoles overcame a 10-point 2nd half deficit. Scoring the game winning TD with less than 4 minutes to play.
Florida State has won the last 6 meetings in the series, but the last 3 have all been by 14 or less points. Last time they hosted the Eagles, they squeaked out a 20-17 win as a 17-point favorite.
Free Pick & Odds Predictions: Boston College +21
I think the value here is with the Eagles as massive 21-point underdog. I know the Seminoles showed a lot heart last week in their win at NC State. A game they could have easily thrown in the towel on after the heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Still, I don’t believe we can trust this team going forward.
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There’s just nothing left to play for the Seminoles. The ACC title is out the window and chances are they won’t be playing in a big bowl game either. That’s a lot to swallow for a team that many predicted to win it all. Getting up for NC State on the road is one thing, it’s a whole different story against a BC team that just lost by 45.
While FSU could struggle to find the motivation for this game, I expect an all out effort here from the Eagles. Boston College is still fighting to become bowl eligible. Needing to win 2 of their final 3 to hit the 6-win mark. A very strong possibility with a home game against UConn and road game at Wake Forest left to play.
We have seen Florida State struggle against similar low-level ACC teams. In fact, just a few weeks ago they only won 17-6 at home against Wake Forest as a 23.5-point favorite.
The big key here is the Eagles have the talent on defense to keep this FSU offense in check. Boston College comes in 15th in the country in total defense, giving up just 322.6 ypg. They are 8th in the country against the run, allowing just 106.6 ypg. If you can take away the ground game, you can definitely slow down the Seminoles attack.
You also have to factor in just how close this series has been of late. Florida State’s largest margin of victory in the last 3 meetings is just 14-points. Last year they only beat BC by a final of 14-0 and that was an Eagles’ team that finished the season 3-9.
It’s also worth pointing out that the Seminoles are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 off a road win. On the other hand, Boston College is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after failing to cover in their last contest.